Mexico's April 2026 headline inflation eased to 4.45% year-over-year from 4.59% in March, marking the first decline since December and falling below consensus forecasts. This moderation, driven by softer food and core readings at 4.26%, has reinforced trader expectations for the annual average to settle in the 4.00-4.49% band, which currently commands the highest market-implied odds. Banco de México's March rate cut to 6.75% and its updated projections, including a 3.5% reading for the final quarter of 2026, further anchor sentiment around gradual disinflation. With core inflation stabilizing near 4.3% amid contained second-round effects from earlier fiscal measures, upcoming INEGI releases and Banxico communications through mid-year will likely determine whether probabilities shift toward the 3.50-3.99% range or remain concentrated in the mid-4% corridor.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật4.00% to 4.49% 46%
4.50% to 4.99% 25%
3.50% to 3.99% 16.2%
5.00% to 5.49% 13.2%
$41,309 KL.
$41,309 KL.
Jan 8, 2027
<2.50%
5%
2.50% to 2.99%
<1%
3.00% to 3.49%
7%
3.50% to 3.99%
27%
4.00% to 4.49%
46%
4.50% to 4.99%
25%
5.00% to 5.49%
13%
5.50%+
8%
4.00% to 4.49% 46%
4.50% to 4.99% 25%
3.50% to 3.99% 16.2%
5.00% to 5.49% 13.2%
$41,309 KL.
$41,309 KL.
Jan 8, 2027
<2.50%
$494 KL.
5%
2.50% to 2.99%
$4,130 KL.
<1%
3.00% to 3.49%
$25,963 KL.
7%
3.50% to 3.99%
$400 KL.
27%
4.00% to 4.49%
$503 KL.
46%
4.50% to 4.99%
$3,538 KL.
25%
5.00% to 5.49%
$1,241 KL.
13%
5.50%+
$5,040 KL.
8%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Mexico over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Mexican National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendarioMexico's April 2026 headline inflation eased to 4.45% year-over-year from 4.59% in March, marking the first decline since December and falling below consensus forecasts. This moderation, driven by softer food and core readings at 4.26%, has reinforced trader expectations for the annual average to settle in the 4.00-4.49% band, which currently commands the highest market-implied odds. Banco de México's March rate cut to 6.75% and its updated projections, including a 3.5% reading for the final quarter of 2026, further anchor sentiment around gradual disinflation. With core inflation stabilizing near 4.3% amid contained second-round effects from earlier fiscal measures, upcoming INEGI releases and Banxico communications through mid-year will likely determine whether probabilities shift toward the 3.50-3.99% range or remain concentrated in the mid-4% corridor.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Mexico over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Mexican National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendario
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendario
Thị trường mở: Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ET
Khối lượng
$41,309Ngày kết thúc
Jan 8, 2027Thị trường mở
Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Mexico over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Mexican National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendarioMexico's April 2026 headline inflation eased to 4.45% year-over-year from 4.59% in March, marking the first decline since December and falling below consensus forecasts. This moderation, driven by softer food and core readings at 4.26%, has reinforced trader expectations for the annual average to settle in the 4.00-4.49% band, which currently commands the highest market-implied odds. Banco de México's March rate cut to 6.75% and its updated projections, including a 3.5% reading for the final quarter of 2026, further anchor sentiment around gradual disinflation. With core inflation stabilizing near 4.3% amid contained second-round effects from earlier fiscal measures, upcoming INEGI releases and Banxico communications through mid-year will likely determine whether probabilities shift toward the 3.50-3.99% range or remain concentrated in the mid-4% corridor.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Mexico over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Mexican National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendario
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendario
Khối lượng
$41,309Ngày kết thúc
Jan 8, 2027Thị trường mở
Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Mexico's April 2026 headline inflation eased to 4.45% year-over-year from 4.59% in March, marking the first decline since December and falling below consensus forecasts. This moderation, driven by softer food and core readings at 4.26%, has reinforced trader expectations for the annual average to settle in the 4.00-4.49% band, which currently commands the highest market-implied odds. Banco de México's March rate cut to 6.75% and its updated projections, including a 3.5% reading for the final quarter of 2026, further anchor sentiment around gradual disinflation. With core inflation stabilizing near 4.3% amid contained second-round effects from earlier fiscal measures, upcoming INEGI releases and Banxico communications through mid-year will likely determine whether probabilities shift toward the 3.50-3.99% range or remain concentrated in the mid-4% corridor.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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