Republican incumbent John Moolenaar faces Democrat Ben Ambrose in Michigan’s 2nd congressional district for the November 2026 general election. The district’s consistent Republican performance, including Moolenaar’s 65 percent margin in 2024, underpins the 98 percent trader consensus for a GOP victory. Moolenaar advanced unopposed through the August 4 Republican primary after securing strong fundraising totals and committee influence on appropriations and strategic competition issues. Ambrose emerged from a close Democratic primary but confronts structural disadvantages in a district rated Solid Republican by nonpartisan analysts, with limited recent polling or campaign developments suggesting a shift. A national Democratic wave, significant personal or ethical controversy involving the incumbent, or unusually high turnout among opposition voters represent the primary, though low-probability, paths that could narrow the margin.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMI-02 House Election Winner
MI-02 House Election Winner
$53,824 KL.
$53,824 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
98%
Democratic Party
1%
$53,824 KL.
$53,824 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$22,737 KL.
98%
Democratic Party
$31,087 KL.
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent John Moolenaar faces Democrat Ben Ambrose in Michigan’s 2nd congressional district for the November 2026 general election. The district’s consistent Republican performance, including Moolenaar’s 65 percent margin in 2024, underpins the 98 percent trader consensus for a GOP victory. Moolenaar advanced unopposed through the August 4 Republican primary after securing strong fundraising totals and committee influence on appropriations and strategic competition issues. Ambrose emerged from a close Democratic primary but confronts structural disadvantages in a district rated Solid Republican by nonpartisan analysts, with limited recent polling or campaign developments suggesting a shift. A national Democratic wave, significant personal or ethical controversy involving the incumbent, or unusually high turnout among opposition voters represent the primary, though low-probability, paths that could narrow the margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Khối lượng
$53,824Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent John Moolenaar faces Democrat Ben Ambrose in Michigan’s 2nd congressional district for the November 2026 general election. The district’s consistent Republican performance, including Moolenaar’s 65 percent margin in 2024, underpins the 98 percent trader consensus for a GOP victory. Moolenaar advanced unopposed through the August 4 Republican primary after securing strong fundraising totals and committee influence on appropriations and strategic competition issues. Ambrose emerged from a close Democratic primary but confronts structural disadvantages in a district rated Solid Republican by nonpartisan analysts, with limited recent polling or campaign developments suggesting a shift. A national Democratic wave, significant personal or ethical controversy involving the incumbent, or unusually high turnout among opposition voters represent the primary, though low-probability, paths that could narrow the margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$53,824Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent John Moolenaar faces Democrat Ben Ambrose in Michigan’s 2nd congressional district for the November 2026 general election. The district’s consistent Republican performance, including Moolenaar’s 65 percent margin in 2024, underpins the 98 percent trader consensus for a GOP victory. Moolenaar advanced unopposed through the August 4 Republican primary after securing strong fundraising totals and committee influence on appropriations and strategic competition issues. Ambrose emerged from a close Democratic primary but confronts structural disadvantages in a district rated Solid Republican by nonpartisan analysts, with limited recent polling or campaign developments suggesting a shift. A national Democratic wave, significant personal or ethical controversy involving the incumbent, or unusually high turnout among opposition voters represent the primary, though low-probability, paths that could narrow the margin.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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