Trader consensus on Polymarket prices the Republican Party at 65.5% to win Michigan's 4th Congressional District House seat, driven by incumbent Bill Huizenga's reelection bid in the R+3 leaning district, where Donald Trump carried 52% in 2024. Recent polling, including a March Ragnar Research survey showing Huizenga leading Democratic state Sen. Sean McCann 48%-42%, bolsters GOP positioning despite McCann's Q1 fundraising edge over $1 million. Sabato's Crystal Ball shifted the rating to Lean Republican as of May 12, signaling competitiveness amid Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee targeting, with August 4 primaries looming as the next key milestone before the November 3 general election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMI-04 House Election Winner
MI-04 House Election Winner
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 4, 2026
Republican Party
64%
Democratic Party
32%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 4, 2026
Republican Party
$336 KL.
64%
Democratic Party
$511 KL.
32%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus on Polymarket prices the Republican Party at 65.5% to win Michigan's 4th Congressional District House seat, driven by incumbent Bill Huizenga's reelection bid in the R+3 leaning district, where Donald Trump carried 52% in 2024. Recent polling, including a March Ragnar Research survey showing Huizenga leading Democratic state Sen. Sean McCann 48%-42%, bolsters GOP positioning despite McCann's Q1 fundraising edge over $1 million. Sabato's Crystal Ball shifted the rating to Lean Republican as of May 12, signaling competitiveness amid Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee targeting, with August 4 primaries looming as the next key milestone before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ET
Khối lượng
$847Ngày kết thúc
Nov 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus on Polymarket prices the Republican Party at 65.5% to win Michigan's 4th Congressional District House seat, driven by incumbent Bill Huizenga's reelection bid in the R+3 leaning district, where Donald Trump carried 52% in 2024. Recent polling, including a March Ragnar Research survey showing Huizenga leading Democratic state Sen. Sean McCann 48%-42%, bolsters GOP positioning despite McCann's Q1 fundraising edge over $1 million. Sabato's Crystal Ball shifted the rating to Lean Republican as of May 12, signaling competitiveness amid Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee targeting, with August 4 primaries looming as the next key milestone before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$847Ngày kết thúc
Nov 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices the Republican Party at 65.5% to win Michigan's 4th Congressional District House seat, driven by incumbent Bill Huizenga's reelection bid in the R+3 leaning district, where Donald Trump carried 52% in 2024. Recent polling, including a March Ragnar Research survey showing Huizenga leading Democratic state Sen. Sean McCann 48%-42%, bolsters GOP positioning despite McCann's Q1 fundraising edge over $1 million. Sabato's Crystal Ball shifted the rating to Lean Republican as of May 12, signaling competitiveness amid Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee targeting, with August 4 primaries looming as the next key milestone before the November 3 general election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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