Incumbent Republican Pete Stauber benefits from the Minnesota 8th District's established R+7 partisan voting index and his 2024 reelection margin exceeding 16 points, which have anchored trader pricing for a Republican hold. The seat's emphasis on Iron Range mining and economic priorities aligns with longstanding Republican strengths, reinforced by Stauber's unanimous party endorsement and substantial fundraising lead. Democratic nominee Trina Swanson secured her nomination last week with strong convention support, yet faces the challenges of an open primary process and limited polling visibility ahead of the August 11 contests. With the general election set for November 3, market consensus at these levels reflects incumbency advantages and historical patterns in this solidly Republican district rather than any recent shifts in voter sentiment.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMN-08 House Election Winner
MN-08 House Election Winner
$13,791 KL.
$13,791 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
76%
Democratic Party
18%
$13,791 KL.
$13,791 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$7,151 KL.
76%
Democratic Party
$6,649 KL.
18%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Pete Stauber benefits from the Minnesota 8th District's established R+7 partisan voting index and his 2024 reelection margin exceeding 16 points, which have anchored trader pricing for a Republican hold. The seat's emphasis on Iron Range mining and economic priorities aligns with longstanding Republican strengths, reinforced by Stauber's unanimous party endorsement and substantial fundraising lead. Democratic nominee Trina Swanson secured her nomination last week with strong convention support, yet faces the challenges of an open primary process and limited polling visibility ahead of the August 11 contests. With the general election set for November 3, market consensus at these levels reflects incumbency advantages and historical patterns in this solidly Republican district rather than any recent shifts in voter sentiment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Khối lượng
$13,791Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Pete Stauber benefits from the Minnesota 8th District's established R+7 partisan voting index and his 2024 reelection margin exceeding 16 points, which have anchored trader pricing for a Republican hold. The seat's emphasis on Iron Range mining and economic priorities aligns with longstanding Republican strengths, reinforced by Stauber's unanimous party endorsement and substantial fundraising lead. Democratic nominee Trina Swanson secured her nomination last week with strong convention support, yet faces the challenges of an open primary process and limited polling visibility ahead of the August 11 contests. With the general election set for November 3, market consensus at these levels reflects incumbency advantages and historical patterns in this solidly Republican district rather than any recent shifts in voter sentiment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$13,791Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Pete Stauber benefits from the Minnesota 8th District's established R+7 partisan voting index and his 2024 reelection margin exceeding 16 points, which have anchored trader pricing for a Republican hold. The seat's emphasis on Iron Range mining and economic priorities aligns with longstanding Republican strengths, reinforced by Stauber's unanimous party endorsement and substantial fundraising lead. Democratic nominee Trina Swanson secured her nomination last week with strong convention support, yet faces the challenges of an open primary process and limited polling visibility ahead of the August 11 contests. With the general election set for November 3, market consensus at these levels reflects incumbency advantages and historical patterns in this solidly Republican district rather than any recent shifts in voter sentiment.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp