Ryan Zinke's retirement announcement in early March opened Montana's 1st Congressional District as a true toss-up, erasing the incumbent advantage in this R+5 battleground blending liberal enclaves in Bozeman and Missoula with rural Republican strongholds. An Upswing poll from late April to early May showed GOP frontrunner Aaron Flint edging Democratic hopefuls Matt Rains (47-44% informed) and Sam Forstag (50-43%), yet traders imply a slight Democratic edge at 47.5% amid stronger recruiting like Ryan Busse. Crowded June 2 primaries loom as the key catalyst, with nominee strength, fundraising, and midterm turnout dynamics poised to tip the balance in the November general.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMT-01 House Election Winner
MT-01 House Election Winner
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 4, 2026
Republican Party
49%
Democratic Party
44%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 4, 2026
Republican Party
$1,011 KL.
49%
Democratic Party
$392 KL.
44%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Ryan Zinke's retirement announcement in early March opened Montana's 1st Congressional District as a true toss-up, erasing the incumbent advantage in this R+5 battleground blending liberal enclaves in Bozeman and Missoula with rural Republican strongholds. An Upswing poll from late April to early May showed GOP frontrunner Aaron Flint edging Democratic hopefuls Matt Rains (47-44% informed) and Sam Forstag (50-43%), yet traders imply a slight Democratic edge at 47.5% amid stronger recruiting like Ryan Busse. Crowded June 2 primaries loom as the key catalyst, with nominee strength, fundraising, and midterm turnout dynamics poised to tip the balance in the November general.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Dec 16, 2025, 12:19 PM ET
Khối lượng
$1,402Ngày kết thúc
Nov 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 16, 2025, 12:19 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Ryan Zinke's retirement announcement in early March opened Montana's 1st Congressional District as a true toss-up, erasing the incumbent advantage in this R+5 battleground blending liberal enclaves in Bozeman and Missoula with rural Republican strongholds. An Upswing poll from late April to early May showed GOP frontrunner Aaron Flint edging Democratic hopefuls Matt Rains (47-44% informed) and Sam Forstag (50-43%), yet traders imply a slight Democratic edge at 47.5% amid stronger recruiting like Ryan Busse. Crowded June 2 primaries loom as the key catalyst, with nominee strength, fundraising, and midterm turnout dynamics poised to tip the balance in the November general.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$1,402Ngày kết thúc
Nov 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 16, 2025, 12:19 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Ryan Zinke's retirement announcement in early March opened Montana's 1st Congressional District as a true toss-up, erasing the incumbent advantage in this R+5 battleground blending liberal enclaves in Bozeman and Missoula with rural Republican strongholds. An Upswing poll from late April to early May showed GOP frontrunner Aaron Flint edging Democratic hopefuls Matt Rains (47-44% informed) and Sam Forstag (50-43%), yet traders imply a slight Democratic edge at 47.5% amid stronger recruiting like Ryan Busse. Crowded June 2 primaries loom as the key catalyst, with nominee strength, fundraising, and midterm turnout dynamics poised to tip the balance in the November general.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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