Recent pressure on Keir Starmer's leadership, following Labour's poor local election results, has positioned Andy Burnham as the clear frontrunner among traders for the next prime minister. The Greater Manchester mayor has secured a route back to Parliament via the upcoming Makerfield by-election, opening a direct path to challenge in any leadership contest. Wes Streeting has announced plans to enter such a race if triggered, while Angela Rayner and others receive lower implied probabilities. The 12.5% chance assigned to no change in 2026 aligns with the fixed timetable for the next general election, though ongoing internal party dynamics and by-election outcomes could still shift timelines and candidate prospects.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtAndy Burnham 56.6%
Không có Thủ tướng tiếp theo vào năm 2026 13%
Wes Streeting 10%
Angela Rayner 10%
$7,277,283 KL.
$7,277,283 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
Andy Burnham
57%
Không có Thủ tướng tiếp theo vào năm 2026
13%
Wes Streeting
10%
Angela Rayner
10%
Ed Miliband
7%
Al Carns
4%
Nigel Farage
1%
Yvette Cooper
1%
Shabana Mahmood
1%
Lucy Powell
<1%
Rupert Lowe
<1%
Rachel Reeves
<1%
Kemi Badenoch
<1%
Boris Johnson
<1%
Ed Davey
<1%
Bridget Phillipson
<1%
Robert Jenrick
<1%
David Lammy
<1%
James Cleverly
<1%
Darren Jones
<1%
John Healey
<1%
Andy Burnham 56.6%
Không có Thủ tướng tiếp theo vào năm 2026 13%
Wes Streeting 10%
Angela Rayner 10%
$7,277,283 KL.
$7,277,283 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
Andy Burnham
$572,148 KL.
57%
Không có Thủ tướng tiếp theo vào năm 2026
$398,398 KL.
13%
Wes Streeting
$284,117 KL.
10%
Angela Rayner
$472,816 KL.
10%
Ed Miliband
$318,418 KL.
7%
Al Carns
$214,817 KL.
4%
Nigel Farage
$807,777 KL.
1%
Yvette Cooper
$283,120 KL.
1%
Shabana Mahmood
$298,443 KL.
1%
Lucy Powell
$294,279 KL.
<1%
Rupert Lowe
$689,923 KL.
<1%
Rachel Reeves
$448,796 KL.
<1%
Kemi Badenoch
$196,954 KL.
<1%
Boris Johnson
$257,601 KL.
<1%
Ed Davey
$352,678 KL.
<1%
Bridget Phillipson
$135,232 KL.
<1%
Robert Jenrick
$374,026 KL.
<1%
David Lammy
$332,812 KL.
<1%
James Cleverly
$296,454 KL.
<1%
Darren Jones
$210,032 KL.
<1%
John Healey
$38,441 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next PM in 2026”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent pressure on Keir Starmer's leadership, following Labour's poor local election results, has positioned Andy Burnham as the clear frontrunner among traders for the next prime minister. The Greater Manchester mayor has secured a route back to Parliament via the upcoming Makerfield by-election, opening a direct path to challenge in any leadership contest. Wes Streeting has announced plans to enter such a race if triggered, while Angela Rayner and others receive lower implied probabilities. The 12.5% chance assigned to no change in 2026 aligns with the fixed timetable for the next general election, though ongoing internal party dynamics and by-election outcomes could still shift timelines and candidate prospects.
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next PM in 2026”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next PM in 2026”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Feb 5, 2026, 5:48 PM ET
Khối lượng
$7,277,283Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Feb 5, 2026, 5:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next PM in 2026”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent pressure on Keir Starmer's leadership, following Labour's poor local election results, has positioned Andy Burnham as the clear frontrunner among traders for the next prime minister. The Greater Manchester mayor has secured a route back to Parliament via the upcoming Makerfield by-election, opening a direct path to challenge in any leadership contest. Wes Streeting has announced plans to enter such a race if triggered, while Angela Rayner and others receive lower implied probabilities. The 12.5% chance assigned to no change in 2026 aligns with the fixed timetable for the next general election, though ongoing internal party dynamics and by-election outcomes could still shift timelines and candidate prospects.
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next PM in 2026”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next PM in 2026”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Khối lượng
$7,277,283Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Feb 5, 2026, 5:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent pressure on Keir Starmer's leadership, following Labour's poor local election results, has positioned Andy Burnham as the clear frontrunner among traders for the next prime minister. The Greater Manchester mayor has secured a route back to Parliament via the upcoming Makerfield by-election, opening a direct path to challenge in any leadership contest. Wes Streeting has announced plans to enter such a race if triggered, while Angela Rayner and others receive lower implied probabilities. The 12.5% chance assigned to no change in 2026 aligns with the fixed timetable for the next general election, though ongoing internal party dynamics and by-election outcomes could still shift timelines and candidate prospects.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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