Keir Starmer faces mounting internal pressure after Labour’s heavy losses in recent local elections, with dozens of MPs publicly calling for his resignation and several ministers stepping down in protest. This leadership uncertainty has elevated Greater Manchester Mayor Andy Burnham as the clear trader favorite, reflecting his consistent high poll ratings among Labour members, his established “Manchesterism” devolution approach, and reports that allies have cleared a path for him to contest a by-election in Makerfield. Wes Streeting and Angela Rayner remain active contenders following their own positioning moves, while the notable share priced on no leadership change in 2026 captures the possibility that Starmer could weather the immediate revolt and retain the premiership through the year.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtAndy Burnham 56.5%
Không có Thủ tướng tiếp theo vào năm 2026 13%
Wes Streeting 10%
Angela Rayner 10%
$7,276,663 KL.
$7,276,663 KL.
Andy Burnham
56%
Không có Thủ tướng tiếp theo vào năm 2026
13%
Wes Streeting
10%
Angela Rayner
10%
Ed Miliband
7%
Al Carns
4%
Nigel Farage
1%
Yvette Cooper
1%
Shabana Mahmood
1%
Lucy Powell
<1%
Rupert Lowe
<1%
Rachel Reeves
<1%
Kemi Badenoch
<1%
Boris Johnson
<1%
Ed Davey
<1%
Bridget Phillipson
<1%
Robert Jenrick
<1%
David Lammy
<1%
James Cleverly
<1%
Darren Jones
<1%
John Healey
<1%
Andy Burnham 56.5%
Không có Thủ tướng tiếp theo vào năm 2026 13%
Wes Streeting 10%
Angela Rayner 10%
$7,276,663 KL.
$7,276,663 KL.
Andy Burnham
56%
Không có Thủ tướng tiếp theo vào năm 2026
13%
Wes Streeting
10%
Angela Rayner
10%
Ed Miliband
7%
Al Carns
4%
Nigel Farage
1%
Yvette Cooper
1%
Shabana Mahmood
1%
Lucy Powell
<1%
Rupert Lowe
<1%
Rachel Reeves
<1%
Kemi Badenoch
<1%
Boris Johnson
<1%
Ed Davey
<1%
Bridget Phillipson
<1%
Robert Jenrick
<1%
David Lammy
<1%
James Cleverly
<1%
Darren Jones
<1%
John Healey
<1%
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next PM in 2026”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Feb 5, 2026, 5:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next PM in 2026”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Keir Starmer faces mounting internal pressure after Labour’s heavy losses in recent local elections, with dozens of MPs publicly calling for his resignation and several ministers stepping down in protest. This leadership uncertainty has elevated Greater Manchester Mayor Andy Burnham as the clear trader favorite, reflecting his consistent high poll ratings among Labour members, his established “Manchesterism” devolution approach, and reports that allies have cleared a path for him to contest a by-election in Makerfield. Wes Streeting and Angela Rayner remain active contenders following their own positioning moves, while the notable share priced on no leadership change in 2026 captures the possibility that Starmer could weather the immediate revolt and retain the premiership through the year.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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