Andy Burnham leads trader consensus for the next UK prime minister due to his strong positioning within the Labour Party following heavy local election defeats that intensified pressure on Keir Starmer. Recent cabinet resignations, including from Health Secretary Wes Streeting, and Angela Rayner’s resolution of prior tax matters have opened pathways for a potential leadership contest. Burnham’s announced bid to return to Parliament through the Makerfield by-election, now cleared by the National Executive Committee, underpins his elevated probability, while the 11.5% chance of no change by year-end reflects uncertainty over whether Starmer can stabilize the government amid ongoing internal challenges and procedural hurdles for any successor.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtAndy Burnham 56.5%
Không có Thủ tướng tiếp theo vào năm 2026 12%
Wes Streeting 10%
Angela Rayner 10%
$7,260,544 KL.
$7,260,544 KL.
Andy Burnham
57%
Không có Thủ tướng tiếp theo vào năm 2026
12%
Wes Streeting
10%
Angela Rayner
10%
Ed Miliband
7%
Al Carns
3%
Nigel Farage
1%
Shabana Mahmood
1%
Yvette Cooper
1%
Lucy Powell
<1%
Rupert Lowe
<1%
Rachel Reeves
<1%
Kemi Badenoch
<1%
Boris Johnson
<1%
Ed Davey
<1%
Bridget Phillipson
<1%
Robert Jenrick
<1%
David Lammy
<1%
James Cleverly
<1%
Darren Jones
<1%
John Healey
<1%
Andy Burnham 56.5%
Không có Thủ tướng tiếp theo vào năm 2026 12%
Wes Streeting 10%
Angela Rayner 10%
$7,260,544 KL.
$7,260,544 KL.
Andy Burnham
57%
Không có Thủ tướng tiếp theo vào năm 2026
12%
Wes Streeting
10%
Angela Rayner
10%
Ed Miliband
7%
Al Carns
3%
Nigel Farage
1%
Shabana Mahmood
1%
Yvette Cooper
1%
Lucy Powell
<1%
Rupert Lowe
<1%
Rachel Reeves
<1%
Kemi Badenoch
<1%
Boris Johnson
<1%
Ed Davey
<1%
Bridget Phillipson
<1%
Robert Jenrick
<1%
David Lammy
<1%
James Cleverly
<1%
Darren Jones
<1%
John Healey
<1%
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next PM in 2026”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Feb 5, 2026, 5:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next PM in 2026”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Andy Burnham leads trader consensus for the next UK prime minister due to his strong positioning within the Labour Party following heavy local election defeats that intensified pressure on Keir Starmer. Recent cabinet resignations, including from Health Secretary Wes Streeting, and Angela Rayner’s resolution of prior tax matters have opened pathways for a potential leadership contest. Burnham’s announced bid to return to Parliament through the Makerfield by-election, now cleared by the National Executive Committee, underpins his elevated probability, while the 11.5% chance of no change by year-end reflects uncertainty over whether Starmer can stabilize the government amid ongoing internal challenges and procedural hurdles for any successor.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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