Oregon’s 3rd congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+24 partisan voting index and consistent historical margins exceeding 30 points. Incumbent Maxine Dexter secured the Democratic nomination with 89% of the primary vote in May 2026, while Republican Loran Ayles advanced unopposed. Multiple nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November general election. Trader consensus assigns the Democratic Party a 94.5% implied probability, aligning with the district’s structural advantages and absence of competitive challengers. A late scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or unusually high Republican turnout could narrow the margin, though such shifts remain low-probability based on current conditions.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtOR-03 House Election Winner
OR-03 House Election Winner
$14,621 KL.
$14,621 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
5%
$14,621 KL.
$14,621 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$4,633 KL.
95%
Republican Party
$9,987 KL.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Oregon’s 3rd congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+24 partisan voting index and consistent historical margins exceeding 30 points. Incumbent Maxine Dexter secured the Democratic nomination with 89% of the primary vote in May 2026, while Republican Loran Ayles advanced unopposed. Multiple nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November general election. Trader consensus assigns the Democratic Party a 94.5% implied probability, aligning with the district’s structural advantages and absence of competitive challengers. A late scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or unusually high Republican turnout could narrow the margin, though such shifts remain low-probability based on current conditions.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Khối lượng
$14,621Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Oregon’s 3rd congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+24 partisan voting index and consistent historical margins exceeding 30 points. Incumbent Maxine Dexter secured the Democratic nomination with 89% of the primary vote in May 2026, while Republican Loran Ayles advanced unopposed. Multiple nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November general election. Trader consensus assigns the Democratic Party a 94.5% implied probability, aligning with the district’s structural advantages and absence of competitive challengers. A late scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or unusually high Republican turnout could narrow the margin, though such shifts remain low-probability based on current conditions.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$14,621Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Oregon’s 3rd congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+24 partisan voting index and consistent historical margins exceeding 30 points. Incumbent Maxine Dexter secured the Democratic nomination with 89% of the primary vote in May 2026, while Republican Loran Ayles advanced unopposed. Multiple nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November general election. Trader consensus assigns the Democratic Party a 94.5% implied probability, aligning with the district’s structural advantages and absence of competitive challengers. A late scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or unusually high Republican turnout could narrow the margin, though such shifts remain low-probability based on current conditions.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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