The special election for Pennsylvania House District 12, triggered by the March 2026 resignation of the prior Republican incumbent, features Republican Scott Timko and Democrat Brandon Dukes as the primary general-election contenders on the August 18 ballot. Timko secured the GOP nomination in a close May primary, while Dukes advanced unopposed on the Democratic side. The district spans portions of Butler County and surrounding areas, where recent primary margins and limited polling data reflect a competitive partisan balance. With the vote roughly one month away, trader consensus at even odds across listed outcomes underscores uncertainty over turnout patterns, local issue salience, and any late campaign developments that could shift support between the two nominees or elevate write-in or alternative candidates.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtPA House of Representatives District 12 Special Election Winner

Scott Timko
76%

Brandon Dukes
22%

Scott Timko
76%

Brandon Dukes
22%
This market will resolve according to the winner of this election.
This market includes any potential runoff election or second round.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including: https://www.electionreturns.pa.gov/.
Thị trường mở: Jul 21, 2026, 7:35 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the winner of this election.
This market includes any potential runoff election or second round.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including: https://www.electionreturns.pa.gov/.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The special election for Pennsylvania House District 12, triggered by the March 2026 resignation of the prior Republican incumbent, features Republican Scott Timko and Democrat Brandon Dukes as the primary general-election contenders on the August 18 ballot. Timko secured the GOP nomination in a close May primary, while Dukes advanced unopposed on the Democratic side. The district spans portions of Butler County and surrounding areas, where recent primary margins and limited polling data reflect a competitive partisan balance. With the vote roughly one month away, trader consensus at even odds across listed outcomes underscores uncertainty over turnout patterns, local issue salience, and any late campaign developments that could shift support between the two nominees or elevate write-in or alternative candidates.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật



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