Incumbent Democrat Summer Lee's commanding position in Pennsylvania's 12th Congressional District, rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report with a D+10 partisan voter index, drives trader consensus at 93.5% for a Democratic general election win on November 3, 2026. Lee's 94% prediction market lead over underfunded challenger William Parker in the May 19 Democratic primary, bolstered by her $1.7 million cash-on-hand versus Parker's $1,100, underscores her path to renomination in this Pittsburgh-based district where she won 2024 by 56%-44% against Republican James Hayes, who returns with just $11,500 raised. Scenarios to challenge include a primary upset, GOP fundraising surge amid a national Republican wave, or late scandal affecting Lee.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtPA-12 House Election Winner
PA-12 House Election Winner
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
7%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$8,257 KL.
94%
Republican Party
$489 KL.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Summer Lee's commanding position in Pennsylvania's 12th Congressional District, rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report with a D+10 partisan voter index, drives trader consensus at 93.5% for a Democratic general election win on November 3, 2026. Lee's 94% prediction market lead over underfunded challenger William Parker in the May 19 Democratic primary, bolstered by her $1.7 million cash-on-hand versus Parker's $1,100, underscores her path to renomination in this Pittsburgh-based district where she won 2024 by 56%-44% against Republican James Hayes, who returns with just $11,500 raised. Scenarios to challenge include a primary upset, GOP fundraising surge amid a national Republican wave, or late scandal affecting Lee.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Khối lượng
$8,746Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Summer Lee's commanding position in Pennsylvania's 12th Congressional District, rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report with a D+10 partisan voter index, drives trader consensus at 93.5% for a Democratic general election win on November 3, 2026. Lee's 94% prediction market lead over underfunded challenger William Parker in the May 19 Democratic primary, bolstered by her $1.7 million cash-on-hand versus Parker's $1,100, underscores her path to renomination in this Pittsburgh-based district where she won 2024 by 56%-44% against Republican James Hayes, who returns with just $11,500 raised. Scenarios to challenge include a primary upset, GOP fundraising surge amid a national Republican wave, or late scandal affecting Lee.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$8,746Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Summer Lee's commanding position in Pennsylvania's 12th Congressional District, rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report with a D+10 partisan voter index, drives trader consensus at 93.5% for a Democratic general election win on November 3, 2026. Lee's 94% prediction market lead over underfunded challenger William Parker in the May 19 Democratic primary, bolstered by her $1.7 million cash-on-hand versus Parker's $1,100, underscores her path to renomination in this Pittsburgh-based district where she won 2024 by 56%-44% against Republican James Hayes, who returns with just $11,500 raised. Scenarios to challenge include a primary upset, GOP fundraising surge amid a national Republican wave, or late scandal affecting Lee.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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