The Michigan 9th congressional district's R+16 partisan voter index and incumbent Republican Lisa McClain's strong 2024 performance underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at these levels. McClain, who won reelection by a wide margin and now serves as House Republican Conference chair, faces limited primary opposition ahead of the August 2026 contest, while Democratic primary contenders like Ray Pooley start from a structural disadvantage in this Thumb-region seat encompassing Port Huron and northern Detroit suburbs. Ratings from Cook Political Report and similar outlets classify the race as solidly Republican, reflecting consistent voter patterns. A late scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Democratic wave could still narrow the gap before the November general election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMI-09 House Election Winner
MI-09 House Election Winner
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
92%
Democratic Party
9%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$8,808 KL.
92%
Democratic Party
$300 KL.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Michigan 9th congressional district's R+16 partisan voter index and incumbent Republican Lisa McClain's strong 2024 performance underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at these levels. McClain, who won reelection by a wide margin and now serves as House Republican Conference chair, faces limited primary opposition ahead of the August 2026 contest, while Democratic primary contenders like Ray Pooley start from a structural disadvantage in this Thumb-region seat encompassing Port Huron and northern Detroit suburbs. Ratings from Cook Political Report and similar outlets classify the race as solidly Republican, reflecting consistent voter patterns. A late scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Democratic wave could still narrow the gap before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Khối lượng
$9,108Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Michigan 9th congressional district's R+16 partisan voter index and incumbent Republican Lisa McClain's strong 2024 performance underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at these levels. McClain, who won reelection by a wide margin and now serves as House Republican Conference chair, faces limited primary opposition ahead of the August 2026 contest, while Democratic primary contenders like Ray Pooley start from a structural disadvantage in this Thumb-region seat encompassing Port Huron and northern Detroit suburbs. Ratings from Cook Political Report and similar outlets classify the race as solidly Republican, reflecting consistent voter patterns. A late scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Democratic wave could still narrow the gap before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$9,108Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Michigan 9th congressional district's R+16 partisan voter index and incumbent Republican Lisa McClain's strong 2024 performance underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at these levels. McClain, who won reelection by a wide margin and now serves as House Republican Conference chair, faces limited primary opposition ahead of the August 2026 contest, while Democratic primary contenders like Ray Pooley start from a structural disadvantage in this Thumb-region seat encompassing Port Huron and northern Detroit suburbs. Ratings from Cook Political Report and similar outlets classify the race as solidly Republican, reflecting consistent voter patterns. A late scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Democratic wave could still narrow the gap before the November general election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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