Recent U.S.-mediated trilateral talks between Russia, Ukraine, and American officials in Geneva during February 2026 produced limited progress on practical issues such as prisoner exchanges and energy security before stalling. Since then, Russian statements on May 9 indicated that any direct Russia-Ukraine meeting would serve only as a final signing ceremony for a pre-agreed settlement rather than active negotiations, while Kremlin spokespeople described a comprehensive peace accord as still distant amid ongoing battlefield developments and paused ceasefire efforts. These positions, alongside Ukraine’s continued emphasis on security guarantees and territorial integrity, shape trader assessments of near-term bilateral diplomatic engagement. Upcoming U.S. diplomatic initiatives or shifts in frontline conditions remain the primary variables that could alter prospects for renewed direct talks within the market’s resolution window.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật$151,980 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
May 31
2%
June 30
28%
December 31
71%
$151,980 KL.
May 31
$74,029 KL.
2%
June 30
$28,230 KL.
28%
December 31
$49,721 KL.
71%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Russia and Ukraine by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.Recent U.S.-mediated trilateral talks between Russia, Ukraine, and American officials in Geneva during February 2026 produced limited progress on practical issues such as prisoner exchanges and energy security before stalling. Since then, Russian statements on May 9 indicated that any direct Russia-Ukraine meeting would serve only as a final signing ceremony for a pre-agreed settlement rather than active negotiations, while Kremlin spokespeople described a comprehensive peace accord as still distant amid ongoing battlefield developments and paused ceasefire efforts. These positions, alongside Ukraine’s continued emphasis on security guarantees and territorial integrity, shape trader assessments of near-term bilateral diplomatic engagement. Upcoming U.S. diplomatic initiatives or shifts in frontline conditions remain the primary variables that could alter prospects for renewed direct talks within the market’s resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Russia and Ukraine by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Thị trường mở: May 4, 2026, 3:07 PM ET
Khối lượng
$151,980Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
May 4, 2026, 3:07 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Russia and Ukraine by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.Recent U.S.-mediated trilateral talks between Russia, Ukraine, and American officials in Geneva during February 2026 produced limited progress on practical issues such as prisoner exchanges and energy security before stalling. Since then, Russian statements on May 9 indicated that any direct Russia-Ukraine meeting would serve only as a final signing ceremony for a pre-agreed settlement rather than active negotiations, while Kremlin spokespeople described a comprehensive peace accord as still distant amid ongoing battlefield developments and paused ceasefire efforts. These positions, alongside Ukraine’s continued emphasis on security guarantees and territorial integrity, shape trader assessments of near-term bilateral diplomatic engagement. Upcoming U.S. diplomatic initiatives or shifts in frontline conditions remain the primary variables that could alter prospects for renewed direct talks within the market’s resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Russia and Ukraine by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Khối lượng
$151,980Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
May 4, 2026, 3:07 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent U.S.-mediated trilateral talks between Russia, Ukraine, and American officials in Geneva during February 2026 produced limited progress on practical issues such as prisoner exchanges and energy security before stalling. Since then, Russian statements on May 9 indicated that any direct Russia-Ukraine meeting would serve only as a final signing ceremony for a pre-agreed settlement rather than active negotiations, while Kremlin spokespeople described a comprehensive peace accord as still distant amid ongoing battlefield developments and paused ceasefire efforts. These positions, alongside Ukraine’s continued emphasis on security guarantees and territorial integrity, shape trader assessments of near-term bilateral diplomatic engagement. Upcoming U.S. diplomatic initiatives or shifts in frontline conditions remain the primary variables that could alter prospects for renewed direct talks within the market’s resolution window.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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