President Aleksandar Vučić has repeatedly signaled that Serbia will hold a snap parliamentary election in 2026, citing ongoing student-led protests that began after the November 2024 Novi Sad station collapse and intensified demands for early National Assembly polls. In early May 2026 he outlined possible dates in July or October–November, following consultations with coalition partners and strong Serbian Progressive Party results in March local elections. These statements, combined with the current parliament’s mandate expiring only at the end of 2027, have produced a clear trader consensus around an 87.5 percent probability of a vote before 2027. No formal dissolution has occurred yet, but the pattern of presidential announcements and the absence of major reversal signals keep the implied likelihood elevated.