Trump's pattern of direct public commentary through social media posts, rallies, and interviews remains the central driver of trader focus for this short-horizon market ending September 30. With roughly one week remaining, attention centers on scheduled campaign-style events, potential responses to ongoing policy debates, and any statements targeting political figures, media outlets, or institutions. Historical frequency of such remarks during active political periods informs positioning, though resolution hinges on verifiable public statements meeting the market criteria before the cutoff. No major scheduled milestones fall inside the final window that would guarantee a specific outcome.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật$140,579 KL.
Sep 30, 2026
Mark Carney
82%
Jon Ossoff
75%
Tucker Carlson
73%
Hillary Clinton
58%
Kathy Hochul
46%
Alex Jones
46%
Elon Musk
41%
Jimmy Kimmel
27%
Zohran Mamdani
29%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
28%
Letitia James
36%
Friedrich Merz
22%
Marjorie Taylor Greene
35%
Andy Burnham
27%
Megyn Kelly
25%
Emmanuel Macron
14%
Jerome Powell
11%
Benjamin Netanyahu
10%
Norah O'Donnell
8%
Pam Bondi
8%
Stephen Colbert
14%
Pope Leo XIV
6%
Mohammed bin Salman
6%
Karoline Leavitt
4%
Kevin Warsh
3%
Xi Jinping
3%
Vladimir Putin
3%
J.D. Vance
1%
Candace Owens
55%
Melania Trump
32%
Ilhan Omar
57%
Elizabeth Warren
50%
Adam Schiff
51%
$140,579 KL.
Mark Carney
$5,456 KL.
82%
Jon Ossoff
$123 KL.
75%
Tucker Carlson
$3,233 KL.
73%
Hillary Clinton
$1,985 KL.
58%
Kathy Hochul
$2,309 KL.
46%
Alex Jones
$204 KL.
46%
Elon Musk
$170 KL.
41%
Jimmy Kimmel
$1,018 KL.
27%
Zohran Mamdani
$2,510 KL.
29%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
$249 KL.
28%
Letitia James
$767 KL.
36%
Friedrich Merz
$2,993 KL.
22%
Marjorie Taylor Greene
$1,525 KL.
35%
Andy Burnham
$3,715 KL.
27%
Megyn Kelly
$407 KL.
25%
Emmanuel Macron
$4,523 KL.
14%
Jerome Powell
$2,136 KL.
11%
Benjamin Netanyahu
$1,642 KL.
10%
Norah O'Donnell
$72 KL.
8%
Pam Bondi
$263 KL.
8%
Stephen Colbert
$326 KL.
14%
Pope Leo XIV
$1,386 KL.
6%
Mohammed bin Salman
$440 KL.
6%
Karoline Leavitt
$300 KL.
4%
Kevin Warsh
$79,429 KL.
3%
Xi Jinping
$2,189 KL.
3%
Vladimir Putin
$2,778 KL.
3%
J.D. Vance
$1,542 KL.
1%
Candace Owens
$3,097 KL.
55%
Melania Trump
$101 KL.
32%
Ilhan Omar
$419 KL.
57%
Elizabeth Warren
$457 KL.
50%
Adam Schiff
$61 KL.
51%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults the listed individual between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available within the specified timeframe. Pre-recorded public statements will count for the date (ET) that they are made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.
Images and videos posted on verified social media accounts will only qualify if they contain insulting language clearly directed at the individual, whether within the content itself or in an accompanying caption. Language within the content of a video will only qualify if Donald Trump is clearly portrayed as saying it. Insulting language within the content of a video said by anyone other than Donald Trump or a portrayal thereof will not qualify.
A quote post will qualify if added language independently qualifies as an insult, or endorses insulting language directed at the individual within the quoted post; a repost of another account's post will not qualify.
A public statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages the individual either personally or professionally. This includes calling the individual a clearly insulting trait (e.g., weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure), using an insulting nickname (e.g., Crooked Hillary), using other clearly derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a clearly derogatory manner (e.g., “He isn’t smart”, “He has no judgment”). Disparaging the individual in their professional capacity will qualify (e.g., "He is a disaster candidate," "He is terrible at his job"); however, negative comments directed at the individual's specific actions, policies, or decisions will not qualify (e.g., "He has bad policies," "He is wrong about healthcare").
A statement made in direct reference to the individual will qualify even if they are not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
The resolution sources will be public statements made by Donald Trump and a consensus of credible reporting.Trump's pattern of direct public commentary through social media posts, rallies, and interviews remains the central driver of trader focus for this short-horizon market ending September 30. With roughly one week remaining, attention centers on scheduled campaign-style events, potential responses to ongoing policy debates, and any statements targeting political figures, media outlets, or institutions. Historical frequency of such remarks during active political periods informs positioning, though resolution hinges on verifiable public statements meeting the market criteria before the cutoff. No major scheduled milestones fall inside the final window that would guarantee a specific outcome.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults the listed individual between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available within the specified timeframe. Pre-recorded public statements will count for the date (ET) that they are made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.
Images and videos posted on verified social media accounts will only qualify if they contain insulting language clearly directed at the individual, whether within the content itself or in an accompanying caption. Language within the content of a video will only qualify if Donald Trump is clearly portrayed as saying it. Insulting language within the content of a video said by anyone other than Donald Trump or a portrayal thereof will not qualify.
A quote post will qualify if added language independently qualifies as an insult, or endorses insulting language directed at the individual within the quoted post; a repost of another account's post will not qualify.
A public statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages the individual either personally or professionally. This includes calling the individual a clearly insulting trait (e.g., weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure), using an insulting nickname (e.g., Crooked Hillary), using other clearly derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a clearly derogatory manner (e.g., “He isn’t smart”, “He has no judgment”). Disparaging the individual in their professional capacity will qualify (e.g., "He is a disaster candidate," "He is terrible at his job"); however, negative comments directed at the individual's specific actions, policies, or decisions will not qualify (e.g., "He has bad policies," "He is wrong about healthcare").
A statement made in direct reference to the individual will qualify even if they are not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
The resolution sources will be public statements made by Donald Trump and a consensus of credible reporting.
A public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available within the specified timeframe. Pre-recorded public statements will count for the date (ET) that they are made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.
Images and videos posted on verified social media accounts will only qualify if they contain insulting language clearly directed at the individual, whether within the content itself or in an accompanying caption. Language within the content of a video will only qualify if Donald Trump is clearly portrayed as saying it. Insulting language within the content of a video said by anyone other than Donald Trump or a portrayal thereof will not qualify.
A quote post will qualify if added language independently qualifies as an insult, or endorses insulting language directed at the individual within the quoted post; a repost of another account's post will not qualify.
A public statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages the individual either personally or professionally. This includes calling the individual a clearly insulting trait (e.g., weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure), using an insulting nickname (e.g., Crooked Hillary), using other clearly derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a clearly derogatory manner (e.g., “He isn’t smart”, “He has no judgment”). Disparaging the individual in their professional capacity will qualify (e.g., "He is a disaster candidate," "He is terrible at his job"); however, negative comments directed at the individual's specific actions, policies, or decisions will not qualify (e.g., "He has bad policies," "He is wrong about healthcare").
A statement made in direct reference to the individual will qualify even if they are not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
The resolution sources will be public statements made by Donald Trump and a consensus of credible reporting.
Thị trường mở: Sep 2, 2026, 5:15 PM ET
Khối lượng
$140,579Ngày kết thúc
Sep 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 2, 2026, 5:15 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults the listed individual between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available within the specified timeframe. Pre-recorded public statements will count for the date (ET) that they are made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.
Images and videos posted on verified social media accounts will only qualify if they contain insulting language clearly directed at the individual, whether within the content itself or in an accompanying caption. Language within the content of a video will only qualify if Donald Trump is clearly portrayed as saying it. Insulting language within the content of a video said by anyone other than Donald Trump or a portrayal thereof will not qualify.
A quote post will qualify if added language independently qualifies as an insult, or endorses insulting language directed at the individual within the quoted post; a repost of another account's post will not qualify.
A public statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages the individual either personally or professionally. This includes calling the individual a clearly insulting trait (e.g., weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure), using an insulting nickname (e.g., Crooked Hillary), using other clearly derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a clearly derogatory manner (e.g., “He isn’t smart”, “He has no judgment”). Disparaging the individual in their professional capacity will qualify (e.g., "He is a disaster candidate," "He is terrible at his job"); however, negative comments directed at the individual's specific actions, policies, or decisions will not qualify (e.g., "He has bad policies," "He is wrong about healthcare").
A statement made in direct reference to the individual will qualify even if they are not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
The resolution sources will be public statements made by Donald Trump and a consensus of credible reporting.Trump's pattern of direct public commentary through social media posts, rallies, and interviews remains the central driver of trader focus for this short-horizon market ending September 30. With roughly one week remaining, attention centers on scheduled campaign-style events, potential responses to ongoing policy debates, and any statements targeting political figures, media outlets, or institutions. Historical frequency of such remarks during active political periods informs positioning, though resolution hinges on verifiable public statements meeting the market criteria before the cutoff. No major scheduled milestones fall inside the final window that would guarantee a specific outcome.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults the listed individual between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available within the specified timeframe. Pre-recorded public statements will count for the date (ET) that they are made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.
Images and videos posted on verified social media accounts will only qualify if they contain insulting language clearly directed at the individual, whether within the content itself or in an accompanying caption. Language within the content of a video will only qualify if Donald Trump is clearly portrayed as saying it. Insulting language within the content of a video said by anyone other than Donald Trump or a portrayal thereof will not qualify.
A quote post will qualify if added language independently qualifies as an insult, or endorses insulting language directed at the individual within the quoted post; a repost of another account's post will not qualify.
A public statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages the individual either personally or professionally. This includes calling the individual a clearly insulting trait (e.g., weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure), using an insulting nickname (e.g., Crooked Hillary), using other clearly derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a clearly derogatory manner (e.g., “He isn’t smart”, “He has no judgment”). Disparaging the individual in their professional capacity will qualify (e.g., "He is a disaster candidate," "He is terrible at his job"); however, negative comments directed at the individual's specific actions, policies, or decisions will not qualify (e.g., "He has bad policies," "He is wrong about healthcare").
A statement made in direct reference to the individual will qualify even if they are not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
The resolution sources will be public statements made by Donald Trump and a consensus of credible reporting.
A public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available within the specified timeframe. Pre-recorded public statements will count for the date (ET) that they are made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.
Images and videos posted on verified social media accounts will only qualify if they contain insulting language clearly directed at the individual, whether within the content itself or in an accompanying caption. Language within the content of a video will only qualify if Donald Trump is clearly portrayed as saying it. Insulting language within the content of a video said by anyone other than Donald Trump or a portrayal thereof will not qualify.
A quote post will qualify if added language independently qualifies as an insult, or endorses insulting language directed at the individual within the quoted post; a repost of another account's post will not qualify.
A public statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages the individual either personally or professionally. This includes calling the individual a clearly insulting trait (e.g., weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure), using an insulting nickname (e.g., Crooked Hillary), using other clearly derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a clearly derogatory manner (e.g., “He isn’t smart”, “He has no judgment”). Disparaging the individual in their professional capacity will qualify (e.g., "He is a disaster candidate," "He is terrible at his job"); however, negative comments directed at the individual's specific actions, policies, or decisions will not qualify (e.g., "He has bad policies," "He is wrong about healthcare").
A statement made in direct reference to the individual will qualify even if they are not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
The resolution sources will be public statements made by Donald Trump and a consensus of credible reporting.
Khối lượng
$140,579Ngày kết thúc
Sep 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 2, 2026, 5:15 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...Trump's pattern of direct public commentary through social media posts, rallies, and interviews remains the central driver of trader focus for this short-horizon market ending September 30. With roughly one week remaining, attention centers on scheduled campaign-style events, potential responses to ongoing policy debates, and any statements targeting political figures, media outlets, or institutions. Historical frequency of such remarks during active political periods informs positioning, though resolution hinges on verifiable public statements meeting the market criteria before the cutoff. No major scheduled milestones fall inside the final window that would guarantee a specific outcome.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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