The upcoming May 26 Republican primary runoff between incumbent U.S. Senator John Cornyn and Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton remains the central driver of trader positioning in the Texas Senate matchup. Recent University of Houston polling shows Paxton ahead 48% to 45% among likely GOP runoff voters, aligning with the 62.5% market share for a Talarico-Paxton general election. Democratic state Representative James Talarico secured his party's nomination in the March primary after defeating Representative Jasmine Crockett. Separate surveys from the University of Texas and Texas Public Opinion Research indicate Talarico holds narrow leads in hypothetical head-to-head contests against both potential Republican nominees. Heavy negative advertising and substantial outside spending by Cornyn allies have intensified the runoff contest, which directly determines the final November pairing.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtTrận đấu Bầu cử Thượng viện Texas
Trận đấu Bầu cử Thượng viện Texas
Talarico & Paxton 63%
Talarico & Cornyn 38%
Crockett & Hunt <1%
Talarico & Hunt <1%
$721,500 KL.
$721,500 KL.
Mar 3, 2026
Talarico & Paxton
63%
Talarico & Cornyn
38%
Crockett & Hunt
<1%
Talarico & Hunt
<1%
Crockett & Paxton
<1%
Crockett & Cornyn
<1%
Khác
<1%
Talarico & Paxton 63%
Talarico & Cornyn 38%
Crockett & Hunt <1%
Talarico & Hunt <1%
$721,500 KL.
$721,500 KL.
Mar 3, 2026
Talarico & Paxton
$275,360 KL.
63%
Talarico & Cornyn
$197,112 KL.
38%
Crockett & Hunt
$24,730 KL.
<1%
Talarico & Hunt
$24,058 KL.
<1%
Crockett & Paxton
$107,066 KL.
<1%
Crockett & Cornyn
$65,651 KL.
<1%
Khác
$27,524 KL.
<1%
The 2026 United States Senate election in Texas is scheduled for November 3, 2026, to elect one member of the United States Senate to represent Texas. Party primary elections will be held on March 3, 2026, with runoff elections on May 26, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority in the primary.
This market will resolve based on the candidates who win the 2026 Democratic and Republican primary elections for United States Senator from Texas, including any required runoff elections.
This market may resolve as soon as the results of both parties' primaries are known definitively. If, for any reason, a candidate other than the primary election winner later becomes the official nominee, this will not affect this market’s resolution.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed wins the respective primaries, or if the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Texas Republican Party and the Texas Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.The upcoming May 26 Republican primary runoff between incumbent U.S. Senator John Cornyn and Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton remains the central driver of trader positioning in the Texas Senate matchup. Recent University of Houston polling shows Paxton ahead 48% to 45% among likely GOP runoff voters, aligning with the 62.5% market share for a Talarico-Paxton general election. Democratic state Representative James Talarico secured his party's nomination in the March primary after defeating Representative Jasmine Crockett. Separate surveys from the University of Texas and Texas Public Opinion Research indicate Talarico holds narrow leads in hypothetical head-to-head contests against both potential Republican nominees. Heavy negative advertising and substantial outside spending by Cornyn allies have intensified the runoff contest, which directly determines the final November pairing.
The 2026 United States Senate election in Texas is scheduled for November 3, 2026, to elect one member of the United States Senate to represent Texas. Party primary elections will be held on March 3, 2026, with runoff elections on May 26, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority in the primary.
This market will resolve based on the candidates who win the 2026 Democratic and Republican primary elections for United States Senator from Texas, including any required runoff elections.
This market may resolve as soon as the results of both parties' primaries are known definitively. If, for any reason, a candidate other than the primary election winner later becomes the official nominee, this will not affect this market’s resolution.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed wins the respective primaries, or if the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Texas Republican Party and the Texas Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve based on the candidates who win the 2026 Democratic and Republican primary elections for United States Senator from Texas, including any required runoff elections.
This market may resolve as soon as the results of both parties' primaries are known definitively. If, for any reason, a candidate other than the primary election winner later becomes the official nominee, this will not affect this market’s resolution.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed wins the respective primaries, or if the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Texas Republican Party and the Texas Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Thị trường mở: Feb 18, 2026, 7:47 PM ET
Khối lượng
$721,500Ngày kết thúc
Mar 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Feb 18, 2026, 7:47 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 United States Senate election in Texas is scheduled for November 3, 2026, to elect one member of the United States Senate to represent Texas. Party primary elections will be held on March 3, 2026, with runoff elections on May 26, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority in the primary.
This market will resolve based on the candidates who win the 2026 Democratic and Republican primary elections for United States Senator from Texas, including any required runoff elections.
This market may resolve as soon as the results of both parties' primaries are known definitively. If, for any reason, a candidate other than the primary election winner later becomes the official nominee, this will not affect this market’s resolution.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed wins the respective primaries, or if the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Texas Republican Party and the Texas Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.The upcoming May 26 Republican primary runoff between incumbent U.S. Senator John Cornyn and Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton remains the central driver of trader positioning in the Texas Senate matchup. Recent University of Houston polling shows Paxton ahead 48% to 45% among likely GOP runoff voters, aligning with the 62.5% market share for a Talarico-Paxton general election. Democratic state Representative James Talarico secured his party's nomination in the March primary after defeating Representative Jasmine Crockett. Separate surveys from the University of Texas and Texas Public Opinion Research indicate Talarico holds narrow leads in hypothetical head-to-head contests against both potential Republican nominees. Heavy negative advertising and substantial outside spending by Cornyn allies have intensified the runoff contest, which directly determines the final November pairing.
The 2026 United States Senate election in Texas is scheduled for November 3, 2026, to elect one member of the United States Senate to represent Texas. Party primary elections will be held on March 3, 2026, with runoff elections on May 26, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority in the primary.
This market will resolve based on the candidates who win the 2026 Democratic and Republican primary elections for United States Senator from Texas, including any required runoff elections.
This market may resolve as soon as the results of both parties' primaries are known definitively. If, for any reason, a candidate other than the primary election winner later becomes the official nominee, this will not affect this market’s resolution.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed wins the respective primaries, or if the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Texas Republican Party and the Texas Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve based on the candidates who win the 2026 Democratic and Republican primary elections for United States Senator from Texas, including any required runoff elections.
This market may resolve as soon as the results of both parties' primaries are known definitively. If, for any reason, a candidate other than the primary election winner later becomes the official nominee, this will not affect this market’s resolution.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed wins the respective primaries, or if the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Texas Republican Party and the Texas Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Khối lượng
$721,500Ngày kết thúc
Mar 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Feb 18, 2026, 7:47 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The upcoming May 26 Republican primary runoff between incumbent U.S. Senator John Cornyn and Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton remains the central driver of trader positioning in the Texas Senate matchup. Recent University of Houston polling shows Paxton ahead 48% to 45% among likely GOP runoff voters, aligning with the 62.5% market share for a Talarico-Paxton general election. Democratic state Representative James Talarico secured his party's nomination in the March primary after defeating Representative Jasmine Crockett. Separate surveys from the University of Texas and Texas Public Opinion Research indicate Talarico holds narrow leads in hypothetical head-to-head contests against both potential Republican nominees. Heavy negative advertising and substantial outside spending by Cornyn allies have intensified the runoff contest, which directly determines the final November pairing.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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