Incumbent Olivia Chow maintains a commanding position in the race for Toronto’s October 26 municipal election, bolstered by consistent polling leads of 11 to 13 points over her nearest rival among decided voters. Brad Bradford, the Beaches–East York councillor who officially declared his candidacy in early May after nominations opened, has narrowed the gap in some surveys but still trails significantly. John Tory’s decision not to seek a comeback has clarified the field, while lower-profile entrants including Ana Bailão and Marco Mendicino register minimal support in available surveys. Traders appear to price in Chow’s incumbency advantage and broad downtown backing as durable factors ahead of the vote, with limited recent developments shifting the competitive landscape.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtOlivia Chow 78%
Brad Bradford 20%
Ana Bailão 2.0%
Kevin Clarke <1%
$30,616 KL.
$30,616 KL.
Olivia Chow
78%
Brad Bradford
20%
Ana Bailão
2%
Kevin Clarke
1%
Marco Mendicino
1%
Anthony Furey
<1%
Michael Ford
<1%
John Tory
<1%
Olivia Chow 78%
Brad Bradford 20%
Ana Bailão 2.0%
Kevin Clarke <1%
$30,616 KL.
$30,616 KL.
Olivia Chow
78%
Brad Bradford
20%
Ana Bailão
2%
Kevin Clarke
1%
Marco Mendicino
1%
Anthony Furey
<1%
Michael Ford
<1%
John Tory
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.
Thị trường mở: Apr 1, 2026, 2:37 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent Olivia Chow maintains a commanding position in the race for Toronto’s October 26 municipal election, bolstered by consistent polling leads of 11 to 13 points over her nearest rival among decided voters. Brad Bradford, the Beaches–East York councillor who officially declared his candidacy in early May after nominations opened, has narrowed the gap in some surveys but still trails significantly. John Tory’s decision not to seek a comeback has clarified the field, while lower-profile entrants including Ana Bailão and Marco Mendicino register minimal support in available surveys. Traders appear to price in Chow’s incumbency advantage and broad downtown backing as durable factors ahead of the vote, with limited recent developments shifting the competitive landscape.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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