Trader consensus that Donald Trump will remain in office through May 31 reflects the absence of active congressional impeachment proceedings, Senate trial timelines, or 25th Amendment invocations that could produce removal in the remaining days. No public statements from the White House or party leadership signal resignation, and no sudden health or legal developments have altered the president's eligibility under constitutional term requirements. With resolution tied to the exact calendar date, any reversal would require rapid bipartisan votes in both chambers or an unforeseen incapacitation announcement, scenarios that current legislative calendars and political alignments do not support.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật$1,698,865 KL.
$1,698,865 KL.
$1,698,865 KL.
$1,698,865 KL.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Thị trường mở: Apr 27, 2026, 5:49 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus that Donald Trump will remain in office through May 31 reflects the absence of active congressional impeachment proceedings, Senate trial timelines, or 25th Amendment invocations that could produce removal in the remaining days. No public statements from the White House or party leadership signal resignation, and no sudden health or legal developments have altered the president's eligibility under constitutional term requirements. With resolution tied to the exact calendar date, any reversal would require rapid bipartisan votes in both chambers or an unforeseen incapacitation announcement, scenarios that current legislative calendars and political alignments do not support.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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