Texas's 38th Congressional District, a Republican-leaning seat in the Houston suburbs created after the 2020 census, features an open race after incumbent Wesley Hunt sought a U.S. Senate nomination. Republican Jon Bonck secured the GOP nomination with a decisive primary runoff victory on May 26, 2026, while Democrat Melissa McDonough advanced as her party's nominee. The district's established partisan composition, combined with recent primary outcomes that unified Republican support ahead of the November 3 general election, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 82.5% implied probability. No major shifts from polling or endorsements have altered this positioning in the weeks since the runoff.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtTX-38 House Election Winner
TX-38 House Election Winner
$17,664 KL.
$17,664 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
83%
Democratic Party
18%
$17,664 KL.
$17,664 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$11,769 KL.
83%
Democratic Party
$5,895 KL.
18%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 38th Congressional District, a Republican-leaning seat in the Houston suburbs created after the 2020 census, features an open race after incumbent Wesley Hunt sought a U.S. Senate nomination. Republican Jon Bonck secured the GOP nomination with a decisive primary runoff victory on May 26, 2026, while Democrat Melissa McDonough advanced as her party's nominee. The district's established partisan composition, combined with recent primary outcomes that unified Republican support ahead of the November 3 general election, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 82.5% implied probability. No major shifts from polling or endorsements have altered this positioning in the weeks since the runoff.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Khối lượng
$17,664Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 38th Congressional District, a Republican-leaning seat in the Houston suburbs created after the 2020 census, features an open race after incumbent Wesley Hunt sought a U.S. Senate nomination. Republican Jon Bonck secured the GOP nomination with a decisive primary runoff victory on May 26, 2026, while Democrat Melissa McDonough advanced as her party's nominee. The district's established partisan composition, combined with recent primary outcomes that unified Republican support ahead of the November 3 general election, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 82.5% implied probability. No major shifts from polling or endorsements have altered this positioning in the weeks since the runoff.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$17,664Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Texas's 38th Congressional District, a Republican-leaning seat in the Houston suburbs created after the 2020 census, features an open race after incumbent Wesley Hunt sought a U.S. Senate nomination. Republican Jon Bonck secured the GOP nomination with a decisive primary runoff victory on May 26, 2026, while Democrat Melissa McDonough advanced as her party's nominee. The district's established partisan composition, combined with recent primary outcomes that unified Republican support ahead of the November 3 general election, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 82.5% implied probability. No major shifts from polling or endorsements have altered this positioning in the weeks since the runoff.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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