California’s 38th congressional district carries a strong Democratic lean, shown by its D+8 partisan voting index and Kamala Harris’s 12-point 2024 margin, which anchors trader consensus at 92.5 percent for a Democratic House winner. The open seat vacated by retiring Representative Linda Sánchez features a June 2 top-two primary dominated by Democrats, including well-funded former Los Angeles County Supervisor Hilda Solis with substantial cash on hand and party endorsements, against a single Republican with minimal reported fundraising. Forecasters rate the race Solid Democratic, consistent with the district’s voter registration and historical results. A Republican victory would require an improbable primary upset, a damaging scandal for the Democratic nominee, or an unusually powerful national midterm wave shifting the November general election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtCA-38 House Election Winner
CA-38 House Election Winner
$57,297 KL.
$57,297 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
92%
Republican Party
6%
$57,297 KL.
$57,297 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$28,855 KL.
92%
Republican Party
$28,442 KL.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California’s 38th congressional district carries a strong Democratic lean, shown by its D+8 partisan voting index and Kamala Harris’s 12-point 2024 margin, which anchors trader consensus at 92.5 percent for a Democratic House winner. The open seat vacated by retiring Representative Linda Sánchez features a June 2 top-two primary dominated by Democrats, including well-funded former Los Angeles County Supervisor Hilda Solis with substantial cash on hand and party endorsements, against a single Republican with minimal reported fundraising. Forecasters rate the race Solid Democratic, consistent with the district’s voter registration and historical results. A Republican victory would require an improbable primary upset, a damaging scandal for the Democratic nominee, or an unusually powerful national midterm wave shifting the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Khối lượng
$57,297Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California’s 38th congressional district carries a strong Democratic lean, shown by its D+8 partisan voting index and Kamala Harris’s 12-point 2024 margin, which anchors trader consensus at 92.5 percent for a Democratic House winner. The open seat vacated by retiring Representative Linda Sánchez features a June 2 top-two primary dominated by Democrats, including well-funded former Los Angeles County Supervisor Hilda Solis with substantial cash on hand and party endorsements, against a single Republican with minimal reported fundraising. Forecasters rate the race Solid Democratic, consistent with the district’s voter registration and historical results. A Republican victory would require an improbable primary upset, a damaging scandal for the Democratic nominee, or an unusually powerful national midterm wave shifting the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$57,297Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...California’s 38th congressional district carries a strong Democratic lean, shown by its D+8 partisan voting index and Kamala Harris’s 12-point 2024 margin, which anchors trader consensus at 92.5 percent for a Democratic House winner. The open seat vacated by retiring Representative Linda Sánchez features a June 2 top-two primary dominated by Democrats, including well-funded former Los Angeles County Supervisor Hilda Solis with substantial cash on hand and party endorsements, against a single Republican with minimal reported fundraising. Forecasters rate the race Solid Democratic, consistent with the district’s voter registration and historical results. A Republican victory would require an improbable primary upset, a damaging scandal for the Democratic nominee, or an unusually powerful national midterm wave shifting the November general election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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