California's 38th congressional district, redrawn in recent cycles to include areas from El Monte to eastern Anaheim, carries a strong Democratic partisan lean that underpins the market's heavy weighting toward the Democratic nominee. Following the June 2026 primary, Democrat Hilda Solis advanced as the clear frontrunner against Republican Pedro Casas for the November 3 general election. The seat became open after incumbent Linda Sánchez shifted districts, yet the underlying voter registration and historical performance patterns continue to favor Democratic outcomes in this solidly blue territory. Trader consensus reflects limited realistic pathways for a Republican victory absent major unforeseen developments such as candidate-specific scandals or an unusually large national partisan shift within the remaining campaign window.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtCA-38 House Election Winner
CA-38 House Election Winner
$61,287 KL.
$61,287 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
2%
$61,287 KL.
$61,287 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$30,378 KL.
95%
Republican Party
$30,909 KL.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 38th congressional district, redrawn in recent cycles to include areas from El Monte to eastern Anaheim, carries a strong Democratic partisan lean that underpins the market's heavy weighting toward the Democratic nominee. Following the June 2026 primary, Democrat Hilda Solis advanced as the clear frontrunner against Republican Pedro Casas for the November 3 general election. The seat became open after incumbent Linda Sánchez shifted districts, yet the underlying voter registration and historical performance patterns continue to favor Democratic outcomes in this solidly blue territory. Trader consensus reflects limited realistic pathways for a Republican victory absent major unforeseen developments such as candidate-specific scandals or an unusually large national partisan shift within the remaining campaign window.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Khối lượng
$61,287Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 38th congressional district, redrawn in recent cycles to include areas from El Monte to eastern Anaheim, carries a strong Democratic partisan lean that underpins the market's heavy weighting toward the Democratic nominee. Following the June 2026 primary, Democrat Hilda Solis advanced as the clear frontrunner against Republican Pedro Casas for the November 3 general election. The seat became open after incumbent Linda Sánchez shifted districts, yet the underlying voter registration and historical performance patterns continue to favor Democratic outcomes in this solidly blue territory. Trader consensus reflects limited realistic pathways for a Republican victory absent major unforeseen developments such as candidate-specific scandals or an unusually large national partisan shift within the remaining campaign window.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$61,287Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...California's 38th congressional district, redrawn in recent cycles to include areas from El Monte to eastern Anaheim, carries a strong Democratic partisan lean that underpins the market's heavy weighting toward the Democratic nominee. Following the June 2026 primary, Democrat Hilda Solis advanced as the clear frontrunner against Republican Pedro Casas for the November 3 general election. The seat became open after incumbent Linda Sánchez shifted districts, yet the underlying voter registration and historical performance patterns continue to favor Democratic outcomes in this solidly blue territory. Trader consensus reflects limited realistic pathways for a Republican victory absent major unforeseen developments such as candidate-specific scandals or an unusually large national partisan shift within the remaining campaign window.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp