Recent U.S.-brokered efforts produced a three-day ceasefire in May 2026 covering Victory Day commemorations, yet it collapsed amid mutual accusations of violations exceeding 1,000 incidents and no follow-on prisoner exchange. Russian officials, including Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov and Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov, described any comprehensive settlement as distant, citing stalled Geneva-format talks and insistence on Ukrainian withdrawal from Donbas. Ukraine continues to condition progress on long-term security guarantees, while territorial disputes over Crimea and eastern regions remain unresolved. These entrenched positions and the absence of renewed high-level diplomacy sustain trader expectations that a formal peace agreement will not materialize before 2027.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật$597,264 KL.
$597,264 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
$597,264 KL.
$597,264 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, Ukraine signs any written instrument (e.g., treaty, ceasefire/armistice, framework/“roadmap,” exchange of letters, or mediated agreement text) that: (i) includes both Ukraine and the Russian Federation as parties, and (ii) either ends hostilities/establishes a ceasefire or commits both sides to a defined process toward ending the war (i.e., stated objective of peace/normalization plus principles, steps, and/or a timetable) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only Ukraine’s signature is required; Russia’s signature or ratification is not.
Localized, temporary, or issue-specific arrangements—such as airstrike-limitation or deconfliction protocols, humanitarian pauses, evacuation corridors, prisoner-exchange or trade/export arrangements, border/DMZ adjustments, or ceasefires limited to a particular sector/front/municipality—will not qualify.
The document must bear a wet-ink or officially issued electronic signature of an authorized Ukrainian representative. Unsigned agreements (e.g., the 2023 Ohrid arrangement) will not qualify regardless of if they are otherwise officially enacted.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Recent U.S.-brokered efforts produced a three-day ceasefire in May 2026 covering Victory Day commemorations, yet it collapsed amid mutual accusations of violations exceeding 1,000 incidents and no follow-on prisoner exchange. Russian officials, including Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov and Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov, described any comprehensive settlement as distant, citing stalled Geneva-format talks and insistence on Ukrainian withdrawal from Donbas. Ukraine continues to condition progress on long-term security guarantees, while territorial disputes over Crimea and eastern regions remain unresolved. These entrenched positions and the absence of renewed high-level diplomacy sustain trader expectations that a formal peace agreement will not materialize before 2027.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, Ukraine signs any written instrument (e.g., treaty, ceasefire/armistice, framework/“roadmap,” exchange of letters, or mediated agreement text) that: (i) includes both Ukraine and the Russian Federation as parties, and (ii) either ends hostilities/establishes a ceasefire or commits both sides to a defined process toward ending the war (i.e., stated objective of peace/normalization plus principles, steps, and/or a timetable) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only Ukraine’s signature is required; Russia’s signature or ratification is not.
Localized, temporary, or issue-specific arrangements—such as airstrike-limitation or deconfliction protocols, humanitarian pauses, evacuation corridors, prisoner-exchange or trade/export arrangements, border/DMZ adjustments, or ceasefires limited to a particular sector/front/municipality—will not qualify.
The document must bear a wet-ink or officially issued electronic signature of an authorized Ukrainian representative. Unsigned agreements (e.g., the 2023 Ohrid arrangement) will not qualify regardless of if they are otherwise officially enacted.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Only Ukraine’s signature is required; Russia’s signature or ratification is not.
Localized, temporary, or issue-specific arrangements—such as airstrike-limitation or deconfliction protocols, humanitarian pauses, evacuation corridors, prisoner-exchange or trade/export arrangements, border/DMZ adjustments, or ceasefires limited to a particular sector/front/municipality—will not qualify.
The document must bear a wet-ink or officially issued electronic signature of an authorized Ukrainian representative. Unsigned agreements (e.g., the 2023 Ohrid arrangement) will not qualify regardless of if they are otherwise officially enacted.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Thị trường mở: Nov 5, 2025, 12:56 PM ET
Khối lượng
$597,264Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Nov 5, 2025, 12:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if, Ukraine signs any written instrument (e.g., treaty, ceasefire/armistice, framework/“roadmap,” exchange of letters, or mediated agreement text) that: (i) includes both Ukraine and the Russian Federation as parties, and (ii) either ends hostilities/establishes a ceasefire or commits both sides to a defined process toward ending the war (i.e., stated objective of peace/normalization plus principles, steps, and/or a timetable) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only Ukraine’s signature is required; Russia’s signature or ratification is not.
Localized, temporary, or issue-specific arrangements—such as airstrike-limitation or deconfliction protocols, humanitarian pauses, evacuation corridors, prisoner-exchange or trade/export arrangements, border/DMZ adjustments, or ceasefires limited to a particular sector/front/municipality—will not qualify.
The document must bear a wet-ink or officially issued electronic signature of an authorized Ukrainian representative. Unsigned agreements (e.g., the 2023 Ohrid arrangement) will not qualify regardless of if they are otherwise officially enacted.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Recent U.S.-brokered efforts produced a three-day ceasefire in May 2026 covering Victory Day commemorations, yet it collapsed amid mutual accusations of violations exceeding 1,000 incidents and no follow-on prisoner exchange. Russian officials, including Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov and Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov, described any comprehensive settlement as distant, citing stalled Geneva-format talks and insistence on Ukrainian withdrawal from Donbas. Ukraine continues to condition progress on long-term security guarantees, while territorial disputes over Crimea and eastern regions remain unresolved. These entrenched positions and the absence of renewed high-level diplomacy sustain trader expectations that a formal peace agreement will not materialize before 2027.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, Ukraine signs any written instrument (e.g., treaty, ceasefire/armistice, framework/“roadmap,” exchange of letters, or mediated agreement text) that: (i) includes both Ukraine and the Russian Federation as parties, and (ii) either ends hostilities/establishes a ceasefire or commits both sides to a defined process toward ending the war (i.e., stated objective of peace/normalization plus principles, steps, and/or a timetable) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only Ukraine’s signature is required; Russia’s signature or ratification is not.
Localized, temporary, or issue-specific arrangements—such as airstrike-limitation or deconfliction protocols, humanitarian pauses, evacuation corridors, prisoner-exchange or trade/export arrangements, border/DMZ adjustments, or ceasefires limited to a particular sector/front/municipality—will not qualify.
The document must bear a wet-ink or officially issued electronic signature of an authorized Ukrainian representative. Unsigned agreements (e.g., the 2023 Ohrid arrangement) will not qualify regardless of if they are otherwise officially enacted.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Only Ukraine’s signature is required; Russia’s signature or ratification is not.
Localized, temporary, or issue-specific arrangements—such as airstrike-limitation or deconfliction protocols, humanitarian pauses, evacuation corridors, prisoner-exchange or trade/export arrangements, border/DMZ adjustments, or ceasefires limited to a particular sector/front/municipality—will not qualify.
The document must bear a wet-ink or officially issued electronic signature of an authorized Ukrainian representative. Unsigned agreements (e.g., the 2023 Ohrid arrangement) will not qualify regardless of if they are otherwise officially enacted.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Khối lượng
$597,264Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Nov 5, 2025, 12:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent U.S.-brokered efforts produced a three-day ceasefire in May 2026 covering Victory Day commemorations, yet it collapsed amid mutual accusations of violations exceeding 1,000 incidents and no follow-on prisoner exchange. Russian officials, including Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov and Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov, described any comprehensive settlement as distant, citing stalled Geneva-format talks and insistence on Ukrainian withdrawal from Donbas. Ukraine continues to condition progress on long-term security guarantees, while territorial disputes over Crimea and eastern regions remain unresolved. These entrenched positions and the absence of renewed high-level diplomacy sustain trader expectations that a formal peace agreement will not materialize before 2027.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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