Ukraine maintains its longstanding commitment to NATO membership, reinforced by public support above 68 percent and repeated alliance statements affirming an irreversible path to accession once conditions are met. NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte’s April remarks identified key holdouts including Germany, Slovakia, Hungary, and the United States, underscoring that membership remains off the immediate agenda amid the active conflict. Ukrainian leadership has signaled openness to security guarantees in peace talks but has not advanced any formal moratorium or neutrality pledge. With no scheduled summits or diplomatic breakthroughs before June 30, traders see negligible likelihood of the required public agreement, reflecting the absence of political momentum or external pressure capable of altering Kyiv’s position in the short term.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật$38,526 KL.
$38,526 KL.
Jun 30, 2026
$38,526 KL.
$38,526 KL.
Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ukraine publicly agrees not to join NATO by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Ukraine not to join NATO will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the Russian Federation.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Ukraine not to join NATO for any amount of time will count (e.g. If Ukraine not to join NATO for 10 years this will qualify).
An agreement by Ukraine not to join NATO as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal. The September 8, 1995 “Agreed Basic Principles” between Bosnia and Yugoslavia which recognized the borders and sovereignty of Bosnia and Herzegovina, and was later formalized through the Dayton Peace Agreement is an example of a qualifying agreement.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the Ukraine, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming a qualifying agreement has been reached will also count.Ukraine maintains its longstanding commitment to NATO membership, reinforced by public support above 68 percent and repeated alliance statements affirming an irreversible path to accession once conditions are met. NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte’s April remarks identified key holdouts including Germany, Slovakia, Hungary, and the United States, underscoring that membership remains off the immediate agenda amid the active conflict. Ukrainian leadership has signaled openness to security guarantees in peace talks but has not advanced any formal moratorium or neutrality pledge. With no scheduled summits or diplomatic breakthroughs before June 30, traders see negligible likelihood of the required public agreement, reflecting the absence of political momentum or external pressure capable of altering Kyiv’s position in the short term.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ukraine publicly agrees not to join NATO by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Ukraine not to join NATO will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the Russian Federation.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Ukraine not to join NATO for any amount of time will count (e.g. If Ukraine not to join NATO for 10 years this will qualify).
An agreement by Ukraine not to join NATO as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal. The September 8, 1995 “Agreed Basic Principles” between Bosnia and Yugoslavia which recognized the borders and sovereignty of Bosnia and Herzegovina, and was later formalized through the Dayton Peace Agreement is an example of a qualifying agreement.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the Ukraine, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming a qualifying agreement has been reached will also count.
An official pledge by Ukraine not to join NATO will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the Russian Federation.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Ukraine not to join NATO for any amount of time will count (e.g. If Ukraine not to join NATO for 10 years this will qualify).
An agreement by Ukraine not to join NATO as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal. The September 8, 1995 “Agreed Basic Principles” between Bosnia and Yugoslavia which recognized the borders and sovereignty of Bosnia and Herzegovina, and was later formalized through the Dayton Peace Agreement is an example of a qualifying agreement.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the Ukraine, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming a qualifying agreement has been reached will also count.
Thị trường mở: Dec 17, 2025, 5:46 PM ET
Khối lượng
$38,526Ngày kết thúc
Jun 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 17, 2025, 5:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ukraine publicly agrees not to join NATO by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Ukraine not to join NATO will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the Russian Federation.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Ukraine not to join NATO for any amount of time will count (e.g. If Ukraine not to join NATO for 10 years this will qualify).
An agreement by Ukraine not to join NATO as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal. The September 8, 1995 “Agreed Basic Principles” between Bosnia and Yugoslavia which recognized the borders and sovereignty of Bosnia and Herzegovina, and was later formalized through the Dayton Peace Agreement is an example of a qualifying agreement.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the Ukraine, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming a qualifying agreement has been reached will also count.Ukraine maintains its longstanding commitment to NATO membership, reinforced by public support above 68 percent and repeated alliance statements affirming an irreversible path to accession once conditions are met. NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte’s April remarks identified key holdouts including Germany, Slovakia, Hungary, and the United States, underscoring that membership remains off the immediate agenda amid the active conflict. Ukrainian leadership has signaled openness to security guarantees in peace talks but has not advanced any formal moratorium or neutrality pledge. With no scheduled summits or diplomatic breakthroughs before June 30, traders see negligible likelihood of the required public agreement, reflecting the absence of political momentum or external pressure capable of altering Kyiv’s position in the short term.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ukraine publicly agrees not to join NATO by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Ukraine not to join NATO will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the Russian Federation.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Ukraine not to join NATO for any amount of time will count (e.g. If Ukraine not to join NATO for 10 years this will qualify).
An agreement by Ukraine not to join NATO as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal. The September 8, 1995 “Agreed Basic Principles” between Bosnia and Yugoslavia which recognized the borders and sovereignty of Bosnia and Herzegovina, and was later formalized through the Dayton Peace Agreement is an example of a qualifying agreement.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the Ukraine, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming a qualifying agreement has been reached will also count.
An official pledge by Ukraine not to join NATO will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the Russian Federation.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Ukraine not to join NATO for any amount of time will count (e.g. If Ukraine not to join NATO for 10 years this will qualify).
An agreement by Ukraine not to join NATO as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal. The September 8, 1995 “Agreed Basic Principles” between Bosnia and Yugoslavia which recognized the borders and sovereignty of Bosnia and Herzegovina, and was later formalized through the Dayton Peace Agreement is an example of a qualifying agreement.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the Ukraine, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming a qualifying agreement has been reached will also count.
Khối lượng
$38,526Ngày kết thúc
Jun 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 17, 2025, 5:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ukraine maintains its longstanding commitment to NATO membership, reinforced by public support above 68 percent and repeated alliance statements affirming an irreversible path to accession once conditions are met. NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte’s April remarks identified key holdouts including Germany, Slovakia, Hungary, and the United States, underscoring that membership remains off the immediate agenda amid the active conflict. Ukrainian leadership has signaled openness to security guarantees in peace talks but has not advanced any formal moratorium or neutrality pledge. With no scheduled summits or diplomatic breakthroughs before June 30, traders see negligible likelihood of the required public agreement, reflecting the absence of political momentum or external pressure capable of altering Kyiv’s position in the short term.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp