US-Israel military cooperation has deepened in 2026 through expanded deployments of US refueling tankers, joint operations, and discussions of infrastructure upgrades at sites like Ovda Air Base amid Iranian threats, yet no official announcement of a new permanent US military base has occurred. Recent steps include NDAA provisions enhancing defense technology coordination and a September 18 statement recognizing an existing joint facility, but these fall short of formal basing commitments. Traders appear to view structural, diplomatic, and strategic barriers as limiting the likelihood of such an announcement before year-end, consistent with the 78.5% implied probability on "No."
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật22% khả năng
MỚI
MỚI
Dec 31, 2026
22% khả năng
MỚI
MỚI
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump, the United States government, the United States military, or their authorized representatives, publicly and officially announces that the United States will maintain a military presence within the territory of Israel, beyond any presence which may exist at the time of creation of this market, by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying announcement must be a clear and declarative statement that the United States will station military personnel in Israel indefinitely, beyond any temporary presence that may exist for mission-specific purposes. For purposes of this market, Israel is defined to exclude territory in the West Bank and Gaza, but to include the Golan Heights and Shebaa Farms.
A qualifying announcement must be made through official channels, by an individual acting in an official capacity. Statements made incidentally or informally in a context not intended for official communication do not qualify.
Once a qualifying announcement is made, this market will resolve to “Yes” regardless of whether it is later reversed, or whether the decision to maintain a military presence is ever actually implemented.
Resolution will be based on official information from Donald Trump, the United States Government, the United States military, and their official representatives. US-Israel military cooperation has deepened in 2026 through expanded deployments of US refueling tankers, joint operations, and discussions of infrastructure upgrades at sites like Ovda Air Base amid Iranian threats, yet no official announcement of a new permanent US military base has occurred. Recent steps include NDAA provisions enhancing defense technology coordination and a September 18 statement recognizing an existing joint facility, but these fall short of formal basing commitments. Traders appear to view structural, diplomatic, and strategic barriers as limiting the likelihood of such an announcement before year-end, consistent with the 78.5% implied probability on "No."
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump, the United States government, the United States military, or their authorized representatives, publicly and officially announces that the United States will maintain a military presence within the territory of Israel, beyond any presence which may exist at the time of creation of this market, by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying announcement must be a clear and declarative statement that the United States will station military personnel in Israel indefinitely, beyond any temporary presence that may exist for mission-specific purposes. For purposes of this market, Israel is defined to exclude territory in the West Bank and Gaza, but to include the Golan Heights and Shebaa Farms.
A qualifying announcement must be made through official channels, by an individual acting in an official capacity. Statements made incidentally or informally in a context not intended for official communication do not qualify.
Once a qualifying announcement is made, this market will resolve to “Yes” regardless of whether it is later reversed, or whether the decision to maintain a military presence is ever actually implemented.
Resolution will be based on official information from Donald Trump, the United States Government, the United States military, and their official representatives.
A qualifying announcement must be a clear and declarative statement that the United States will station military personnel in Israel indefinitely, beyond any temporary presence that may exist for mission-specific purposes. For purposes of this market, Israel is defined to exclude territory in the West Bank and Gaza, but to include the Golan Heights and Shebaa Farms.
A qualifying announcement must be made through official channels, by an individual acting in an official capacity. Statements made incidentally or informally in a context not intended for official communication do not qualify.
Once a qualifying announcement is made, this market will resolve to “Yes” regardless of whether it is later reversed, or whether the decision to maintain a military presence is ever actually implemented.
Resolution will be based on official information from Donald Trump, the United States Government, the United States military, and their official representatives.
Thị trường mở: Jul 1, 2026, 4:57 PM ET
Khối lượng
$675Ngày kết thúc
Jan 1, 2027Thị trường mở
Jul 1, 2026, 4:57 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump, the United States government, the United States military, or their authorized representatives, publicly and officially announces that the United States will maintain a military presence within the territory of Israel, beyond any presence which may exist at the time of creation of this market, by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying announcement must be a clear and declarative statement that the United States will station military personnel in Israel indefinitely, beyond any temporary presence that may exist for mission-specific purposes. For purposes of this market, Israel is defined to exclude territory in the West Bank and Gaza, but to include the Golan Heights and Shebaa Farms.
A qualifying announcement must be made through official channels, by an individual acting in an official capacity. Statements made incidentally or informally in a context not intended for official communication do not qualify.
Once a qualifying announcement is made, this market will resolve to “Yes” regardless of whether it is later reversed, or whether the decision to maintain a military presence is ever actually implemented.
Resolution will be based on official information from Donald Trump, the United States Government, the United States military, and their official representatives. US-Israel military cooperation has deepened in 2026 through expanded deployments of US refueling tankers, joint operations, and discussions of infrastructure upgrades at sites like Ovda Air Base amid Iranian threats, yet no official announcement of a new permanent US military base has occurred. Recent steps include NDAA provisions enhancing defense technology coordination and a September 18 statement recognizing an existing joint facility, but these fall short of formal basing commitments. Traders appear to view structural, diplomatic, and strategic barriers as limiting the likelihood of such an announcement before year-end, consistent with the 78.5% implied probability on "No."
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump, the United States government, the United States military, or their authorized representatives, publicly and officially announces that the United States will maintain a military presence within the territory of Israel, beyond any presence which may exist at the time of creation of this market, by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying announcement must be a clear and declarative statement that the United States will station military personnel in Israel indefinitely, beyond any temporary presence that may exist for mission-specific purposes. For purposes of this market, Israel is defined to exclude territory in the West Bank and Gaza, but to include the Golan Heights and Shebaa Farms.
A qualifying announcement must be made through official channels, by an individual acting in an official capacity. Statements made incidentally or informally in a context not intended for official communication do not qualify.
Once a qualifying announcement is made, this market will resolve to “Yes” regardless of whether it is later reversed, or whether the decision to maintain a military presence is ever actually implemented.
Resolution will be based on official information from Donald Trump, the United States Government, the United States military, and their official representatives.
A qualifying announcement must be a clear and declarative statement that the United States will station military personnel in Israel indefinitely, beyond any temporary presence that may exist for mission-specific purposes. For purposes of this market, Israel is defined to exclude territory in the West Bank and Gaza, but to include the Golan Heights and Shebaa Farms.
A qualifying announcement must be made through official channels, by an individual acting in an official capacity. Statements made incidentally or informally in a context not intended for official communication do not qualify.
Once a qualifying announcement is made, this market will resolve to “Yes” regardless of whether it is later reversed, or whether the decision to maintain a military presence is ever actually implemented.
Resolution will be based on official information from Donald Trump, the United States Government, the United States military, and their official representatives.
Khối lượng
$675Ngày kết thúc
Jan 1, 2027Thị trường mở
Jul 1, 2026, 4:57 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...US-Israel military cooperation has deepened in 2026 through expanded deployments of US refueling tankers, joint operations, and discussions of infrastructure upgrades at sites like Ovda Air Base amid Iranian threats, yet no official announcement of a new permanent US military base has occurred. Recent steps include NDAA provisions enhancing defense technology coordination and a September 18 statement recognizing an existing joint facility, but these fall short of formal basing commitments. Traders appear to view structural, diplomatic, and strategic barriers as limiting the likelihood of such an announcement before year-end, consistent with the 78.5% implied probability on "No."
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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