The U.S. Embassy in Beirut has operated under ordered departure status for non-emergency personnel and families since February 2026 amid U.S.-Iran tensions and Hezbollah's regional role. The State Department has since signaled plans to return diplomats, with Lebanon among the first posts targeted for staffing increases as of late August 2026, reflecting lower immediate conflict risk and a shift toward economic measures against Tehran. Persistent Level 4 travel advisories and September security alerts cite potential escalation, flight disruptions, and threats from Iran-aligned groups, though the embassy continues routine services with core staff in place. Market sentiment tracks U.S.-Iran diplomacy, military deployments, and Lebanese security developments that could trigger expanded drawdowns or full evacuation within resolution windows.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtU.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by...?
U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by...?
$119,085 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
December 31
9%
$119,085 KL.
December 31
$24,983 KL.
9%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. The U.S. Embassy in Beirut has operated under ordered departure status for non-emergency personnel and families since February 2026 amid U.S.-Iran tensions and Hezbollah's regional role. The State Department has since signaled plans to return diplomats, with Lebanon among the first posts targeted for staffing increases as of late August 2026, reflecting lower immediate conflict risk and a shift toward economic measures against Tehran. Persistent Level 4 travel advisories and September security alerts cite potential escalation, flight disruptions, and threats from Iran-aligned groups, though the embassy continues routine services with core staff in place. Market sentiment tracks U.S.-Iran diplomacy, military deployments, and Lebanese security developments that could trigger expanded drawdowns or full evacuation within resolution windows.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
Thị trường mở: Jun 30, 2026, 5:10 PM ET
Khối lượng
$119,085Ngày kết thúc
Jan 1, 2027Thị trường mở
Jun 30, 2026, 5:10 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. The U.S. Embassy in Beirut has operated under ordered departure status for non-emergency personnel and families since February 2026 amid U.S.-Iran tensions and Hezbollah's regional role. The State Department has since signaled plans to return diplomats, with Lebanon among the first posts targeted for staffing increases as of late August 2026, reflecting lower immediate conflict risk and a shift toward economic measures against Tehran. Persistent Level 4 travel advisories and September security alerts cite potential escalation, flight disruptions, and threats from Iran-aligned groups, though the embassy continues routine services with core staff in place. Market sentiment tracks U.S.-Iran diplomacy, military deployments, and Lebanese security developments that could trigger expanded drawdowns or full evacuation within resolution windows.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
Khối lượng
$119,085Ngày kết thúc
Jan 1, 2027Thị trường mở
Jun 30, 2026, 5:10 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...The U.S. Embassy in Beirut has operated under ordered departure status for non-emergency personnel and families since February 2026 amid U.S.-Iran tensions and Hezbollah's regional role. The State Department has since signaled plans to return diplomats, with Lebanon among the first posts targeted for staffing increases as of late August 2026, reflecting lower immediate conflict risk and a shift toward economic measures against Tehran. Persistent Level 4 travel advisories and September security alerts cite potential escalation, flight disruptions, and threats from Iran-aligned groups, though the embassy continues routine services with core staff in place. Market sentiment tracks U.S.-Iran diplomacy, military deployments, and Lebanese security developments that could trigger expanded drawdowns or full evacuation within resolution windows.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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