Heightened regional tensions involving Hezbollah, Israel, and Iran have sustained U.S. Embassy Beirut on ordered departure status since February 2026, with non-emergency personnel and families relocated while core operations continue under restrictions. Security alerts through August 1, 2026, cite potential for rapid escalation and urge American citizens to depart via commercial flights, yet the embassy has not shifted to full evacuation or closure. Diplomatic efforts, including June 2026 preliminary Israel-Lebanon understandings and proposed verification mechanisms with third-party contributors, have not resolved underlying risks or altered the ordered departure posture. Trader sentiment reflects the balance between persistent volatility in southern Lebanon and the absence of new triggers for complete embassy withdrawal.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtU.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by...?
U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by...?
$117,489 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
December 31
4%
$117,489 KL.
December 31
$23,387 KL.
4%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. Heightened regional tensions involving Hezbollah, Israel, and Iran have sustained U.S. Embassy Beirut on ordered departure status since February 2026, with non-emergency personnel and families relocated while core operations continue under restrictions. Security alerts through August 1, 2026, cite potential for rapid escalation and urge American citizens to depart via commercial flights, yet the embassy has not shifted to full evacuation or closure. Diplomatic efforts, including June 2026 preliminary Israel-Lebanon understandings and proposed verification mechanisms with third-party contributors, have not resolved underlying risks or altered the ordered departure posture. Trader sentiment reflects the balance between persistent volatility in southern Lebanon and the absence of new triggers for complete embassy withdrawal.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
Thị trường mở: Jun 30, 2026, 5:10 PM ET
Khối lượng
$117,489Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 30, 2026, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. Heightened regional tensions involving Hezbollah, Israel, and Iran have sustained U.S. Embassy Beirut on ordered departure status since February 2026, with non-emergency personnel and families relocated while core operations continue under restrictions. Security alerts through August 1, 2026, cite potential for rapid escalation and urge American citizens to depart via commercial flights, yet the embassy has not shifted to full evacuation or closure. Diplomatic efforts, including June 2026 preliminary Israel-Lebanon understandings and proposed verification mechanisms with third-party contributors, have not resolved underlying risks or altered the ordered departure posture. Trader sentiment reflects the balance between persistent volatility in southern Lebanon and the absence of new triggers for complete embassy withdrawal.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
Khối lượng
$117,489Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 30, 2026, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Heightened regional tensions involving Hezbollah, Israel, and Iran have sustained U.S. Embassy Beirut on ordered departure status since February 2026, with non-emergency personnel and families relocated while core operations continue under restrictions. Security alerts through August 1, 2026, cite potential for rapid escalation and urge American citizens to depart via commercial flights, yet the embassy has not shifted to full evacuation or closure. Diplomatic efforts, including June 2026 preliminary Israel-Lebanon understandings and proposed verification mechanisms with third-party contributors, have not resolved underlying risks or altered the ordered departure posture. Trader sentiment reflects the balance between persistent volatility in southern Lebanon and the absence of new triggers for complete embassy withdrawal.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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