Recent U.S.-China frameworks, including the November 2025 tariff suspension extending through November 2026 and the May 2026 Trump-Xi summit outcomes on agricultural purchases, rare earth assurances, and bilateral trade boards, have already addressed core tariff pressures without yielding a new comprehensive mutual agreement. With only weeks remaining before the June 30 cutoff and no scheduled high-level negotiations or deadlines in that window, traders assign overwhelming probability to no fresh publicly announced tariff pact materializing. Supreme Court rulings on certain tariff authorities and stable diplomatic channels further reduce urgency for immediate action. A sudden diplomatic breakthrough, major concession on enforcement or market access, or emergency talks could still alter the outcome before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật$28,786 KL.
$28,786 KL.
Jun 30, 2026
$28,786 KL.
$28,786 KL.
Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Recent U.S.-China frameworks, including the November 2025 tariff suspension extending through November 2026 and the May 2026 Trump-Xi summit outcomes on agricultural purchases, rare earth assurances, and bilateral trade boards, have already addressed core tariff pressures without yielding a new comprehensive mutual agreement. With only weeks remaining before the June 30 cutoff and no scheduled high-level negotiations or deadlines in that window, traders assign overwhelming probability to no fresh publicly announced tariff pact materializing. Supreme Court rulings on certain tariff authorities and stable diplomatic channels further reduce urgency for immediate action. A sudden diplomatic breakthrough, major concession on enforcement or market access, or emergency talks could still alter the outcome before resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Thị trường mở: May 26, 2026, 6:39 PM ET
Khối lượng
$28,786Ngày kết thúc
Jun 30, 2026Thị trường mở
May 26, 2026, 6:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Recent U.S.-China frameworks, including the November 2025 tariff suspension extending through November 2026 and the May 2026 Trump-Xi summit outcomes on agricultural purchases, rare earth assurances, and bilateral trade boards, have already addressed core tariff pressures without yielding a new comprehensive mutual agreement. With only weeks remaining before the June 30 cutoff and no scheduled high-level negotiations or deadlines in that window, traders assign overwhelming probability to no fresh publicly announced tariff pact materializing. Supreme Court rulings on certain tariff authorities and stable diplomatic channels further reduce urgency for immediate action. A sudden diplomatic breakthrough, major concession on enforcement or market access, or emergency talks could still alter the outcome before resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Khối lượng
$28,786Ngày kết thúc
Jun 30, 2026Thị trường mở
May 26, 2026, 6:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent U.S.-China frameworks, including the November 2025 tariff suspension extending through November 2026 and the May 2026 Trump-Xi summit outcomes on agricultural purchases, rare earth assurances, and bilateral trade boards, have already addressed core tariff pressures without yielding a new comprehensive mutual agreement. With only weeks remaining before the June 30 cutoff and no scheduled high-level negotiations or deadlines in that window, traders assign overwhelming probability to no fresh publicly announced tariff pact materializing. Supreme Court rulings on certain tariff authorities and stable diplomatic channels further reduce urgency for immediate action. A sudden diplomatic breakthrough, major concession on enforcement or market access, or emergency talks could still alter the outcome before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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