Skip to main content
icon for Who will vote to confirm Jay Clayton as Director of National Intelligence
Chính Trị·DNI

Who will vote to confirm Jay Clayton as Director of National Intelligence

icon for Who will vote to confirm Jay Clayton as Director of National Intelligence
Chính Trị·DNI

Who will vote to confirm Jay Clayton as Director of National Intelligence

$10,193 KL.

Jan 1, 2027
Polymarket

$10,193 KL.

Polymarket

Thom Tillis

$856 KL.

97%

John Cornyn

$690 KL.

84%

Dan Sullivan

$2,674 KL.

86%

Rand Paul

$748 KL.

75%

Susan Collins

$348 KL.

75%

John Curtis

$782 KL.

69%

Bill Cassidy

$2,563 KL.

68%

John Fetterman

$812 KL.

33%

Mitch McConnell

$627 KL.

6%

Lisa Murkowski

$93 KL.

53%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Senator votes “Yea” on the first final U.S. Senate confirmation vote on the nomination of Jay Clayton to be Director of National Intelligence. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The vote refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions. If the nomination passes unanimously or without individual voting (e.g. a voice vote), this market will resolve to “Yes”. If the nomination is rejected unanimously or without individual voting, this market will resolve to “No”. If no qualifying vote is held by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No”. No attempts by a legislator to change their vote after the vote has been closed shall be considered for this market. The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting. President Donald Trump’s June 17 Truth Social post abruptly postponed Jay Clayton’s scheduled Senate Intelligence Committee confirmation hearing, tying progress to Senate approval of his replacement as U.S. Attorney for the Southern District of New York and advancement of a voter ID measure. Clayton, the current SDNY U.S. Attorney and former SEC chair, had been positioned for rapid confirmation to stabilize leadership of the intelligence community amid an expired Section 702 surveillance authority. The Senate had initially fast-tracked the process with bipartisan praise for Clayton’s prosecutorial and regulatory experience, though acting DNI Bill Pulte remains in place. Resolution hinges on Senate vote thresholds, committee rescheduling, and any procedural holds or linked legislation before full confirmation.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Senator votes “Yea” on the first final U.S. Senate confirmation vote on the nomination of Jay Clayton to be Director of National Intelligence. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The vote refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions.

If the nomination passes unanimously or without individual voting (e.g. a voice vote), this market will resolve to “Yes”. If the nomination is rejected unanimously or without individual voting, this market will resolve to “No”.

If no qualifying vote is held by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

No attempts by a legislator to change their vote after the vote has been closed shall be considered for this market.

The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
Khối lượng
$10,193
Ngày kết thúc
Jan 1, 2027
Thị trường mở
Jun 12, 2026, 11:03 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Senator votes “Yea” on the first final U.S. Senate confirmation vote on the nomination of Jay Clayton to be Director of National Intelligence. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The vote refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions. If the nomination passes unanimously or without individual voting (e.g. a voice vote), this market will resolve to “Yes”. If the nomination is rejected unanimously or without individual voting, this market will resolve to “No”. If no qualifying vote is held by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No”. No attempts by a legislator to change their vote after the vote has been closed shall be considered for this market. The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Senator votes “Yea” on the first final U.S. Senate confirmation vote on the nomination of Jay Clayton to be Director of National Intelligence. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The vote refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions. If the nomination passes unanimously or without individual voting (e.g. a voice vote), this market will resolve to “Yes”. If the nomination is rejected unanimously or without individual voting, this market will resolve to “No”. If no qualifying vote is held by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No”. No attempts by a legislator to change their vote after the vote has been closed shall be considered for this market. The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting. President Donald Trump’s June 17 Truth Social post abruptly postponed Jay Clayton’s scheduled Senate Intelligence Committee confirmation hearing, tying progress to Senate approval of his replacement as U.S. Attorney for the Southern District of New York and advancement of a voter ID measure. Clayton, the current SDNY U.S. Attorney and former SEC chair, had been positioned for rapid confirmation to stabilize leadership of the intelligence community amid an expired Section 702 surveillance authority. The Senate had initially fast-tracked the process with bipartisan praise for Clayton’s prosecutorial and regulatory experience, though acting DNI Bill Pulte remains in place. Resolution hinges on Senate vote thresholds, committee rescheduling, and any procedural holds or linked legislation before full confirmation.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Senator votes “Yea” on the first final U.S. Senate confirmation vote on the nomination of Jay Clayton to be Director of National Intelligence. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The vote refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions.

If the nomination passes unanimously or without individual voting (e.g. a voice vote), this market will resolve to “Yes”. If the nomination is rejected unanimously or without individual voting, this market will resolve to “No”.

If no qualifying vote is held by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

No attempts by a legislator to change their vote after the vote has been closed shall be considered for this market.

The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
Khối lượng
$10,193
Ngày kết thúc
Jan 1, 2027
Thị trường mở
Jun 12, 2026, 11:03 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Senator votes “Yea” on the first final U.S. Senate confirmation vote on the nomination of Jay Clayton to be Director of National Intelligence. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The vote refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions. If the nomination passes unanimously or without individual voting (e.g. a voice vote), this market will resolve to “Yes”. If the nomination is rejected unanimously or without individual voting, this market will resolve to “No”. If no qualifying vote is held by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No”. No attempts by a legislator to change their vote after the vote has been closed shall be considered for this market. The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.

Liên quan

icon for Will Thom Tillis vote to confirm Todd Blanche as Attorney General?

Will Thom Tillis vote to confirm Todd Blanche as Attorney General?

88%
icon for Will 50 senators vote "Yea" for Todd Blanche as Attorney General?

Will 50 senators vote "Yea" for Todd Blanche as Attorney General?

38%
icon for GOP uses 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by December 31, 2026?

GOP uses 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by December 31, 2026?

12%

Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.

Câu hỏi thường gặp

"Who will vote to confirm Jay Clayton as Director of National Intelligence" là thị trường dự đoán trên Polymarket với 10 kết quả có thể nơi các nhà giao dịch mua và bán cổ phần dựa trên điều họ tin sẽ xảy ra. Kết quả dẫn đầu hiện tại là "Thom Tillis" ở mức 97%, tiếp theo là "Dan Sullivan" ở mức 86%. Giá phản ánh xác suất cộng đồng theo thời gian thực. Ví dụ, cổ phần ở giá 97¢ ngụ ý thị trường tập thể cho rằng có 97% khả năng cho kết quả đó. Tỷ lệ này thay đổi liên tục khi trader phản ứng với diễn biến và thông tin mới. Cổ phần đúng kết quả có thể đổi lấy $1 mỗi cổ phần khi thị trường được giải quyết.

Tính đến hôm nay, "Who will vote to confirm Jay Clayton as Director of National Intelligence" đã tạo $10.2K tổng khối lượng giao dịch kể từ khi thị trường mở vào Jun 12, 2026. Mức hoạt động giao dịch này phản ánh sự tham gia mạnh mẽ từ cộng đồng Polymarket và giúp đảm bảo tỷ lệ hiện tại được thông tin bởi nhóm người tham gia thị trường sâu rộng. Bạn có thể theo dõi biến động giá trực tiếp và giao dịch trên bất kỳ kết quả nào ngay trên trang này.

Để giao dịch trên "Who will vote to confirm Jay Clayton as Director of National Intelligence," duyệt 10 kết quả có sẵn trên trang này. Mỗi kết quả hiển thị giá hiện tại đại diện cho xác suất ngụ ý của thị trường. Để mở vị thế, chọn kết quả bạn tin là có khả năng nhất, chọn "Có" để giao dịch ủng hộ hoặc "Không" để giao dịch chống, nhập số tiền và nhấn "Giao dịch." Nếu kết quả bạn chọn đúng khi thị trường giải quyết, cổ phần "Có" của bạn trả $1 mỗi cổ phần. Nếu sai, chúng trả $0. Bạn cũng có thể bán cổ phần bất cứ lúc nào trước khi giải quyết nếu muốn chốt lời hoặc cắt lỗ.

Ứng viên dẫn đầu hiện tại cho "Who will vote to confirm Jay Clayton as Director of National Intelligence" là "Thom Tillis" ở mức 97%, nghĩa là thị trường cho 97% khả năng cho kết quả đó. Kết quả gần nhất tiếp theo là "Dan Sullivan" ở mức 86%. Tỷ lệ cập nhật theo thời gian thực khi trader mua và bán cổ phần, phản ánh cái nhìn tập thể mới nhất về điều có khả năng xảy ra nhất. Kiểm tra thường xuyên hoặc đánh dấu trang này để theo dõi tỷ lệ thay đổi khi thông tin mới xuất hiện.

Quy tắc giải quyết cho "Who will vote to confirm Jay Clayton as Director of National Intelligence" định nghĩa chính xác điều gì cần xảy ra để mỗi kết quả được tuyên bố thắng — bao gồm nguồn dữ liệu chính thức được sử dụng để xác định kết quả. Bạn có thể xem tiêu chí giải quyết đầy đủ trong phần "Quy tắc" trên trang này phía trên bình luận. Chúng tôi khuyên đọc kỹ quy tắc trước khi giao dịch, vì chúng chỉ rõ điều kiện, trường hợp ngoại lệ và nguồn chính xác quản lý cách thị trường được thanh toán.