Recent announcements show 36 to 37 Republican House members declining to seek re-election in 2026, driven by factors including legislative gridlock, redistricting shifts in several states, and opportunities to pursue governorships or other offices. This pace matches historical highs for a party holding the majority ahead of midterms, with primaries and filing deadlines still ahead in many districts potentially prompting additional exits. Traders price the 36–39, 40–43, and 44+ ranges nearly even because further departures before summer deadlines could easily shift totals upward, while stable conditions or reversals on higher-office bids might cap the count near current levels. Key upcoming catalysts include state-specific candidate filing periods and any late primary challenges that could influence remaining incumbents’ decisions.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHow many Republican House members not running in 2026?
How many Republican House members not running in 2026?
44+ 45.6%
40–43 36.2%
28–31 12%
32–35 <1%
$56,541 KL.
$56,541 KL.
Aug 31, 2026
<24
<1%
24–27
<1%
28–31
12%
32–35
<1%
36–39
39%
40–43
41%
44+
46%
44+ 45.6%
40–43 36.2%
28–31 12%
32–35 <1%
$56,541 KL.
$56,541 KL.
Aug 31, 2026
<24
$3,907 KL.
<1%
24–27
$18,964 KL.
<1%
28–31
$21,831 KL.
12%
32–35
$4,611 KL.
<1%
36–39
$2,548 KL.
39%
40–43
$2,077 KL.
41%
44+
$2,602 KL.
46%
The 2026 U.S. general elections for Congress are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of Republican members of the U.S. House of Representatives who are considered to be retiring or not seeking reelection in 2026.
For the purposes of this market, a member may be considered not to seek reelection if:
• They publicly announce they are retiring from Congress and will not run for reelection to their current seat
• They choose to run for a different elected office in 2026 instead of running for reelection to their current seat
• They do not seek their party’s nomination for reelection to their current seat, meaning they neither file for reelection nor participate in their party’s nominating process (such as a primary, convention, or caucus)
Only members whose current term is scheduled to end with the 2026 regular election for the House may qualify for this market.
This market will not resolve until after the relevant final 2026 candidate filing deadline has passed in all states, which is expected to occur in late August 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Recent announcements show 36 to 37 Republican House members declining to seek re-election in 2026, driven by factors including legislative gridlock, redistricting shifts in several states, and opportunities to pursue governorships or other offices. This pace matches historical highs for a party holding the majority ahead of midterms, with primaries and filing deadlines still ahead in many districts potentially prompting additional exits. Traders price the 36–39, 40–43, and 44+ ranges nearly even because further departures before summer deadlines could easily shift totals upward, while stable conditions or reversals on higher-office bids might cap the count near current levels. Key upcoming catalysts include state-specific candidate filing periods and any late primary challenges that could influence remaining incumbents’ decisions.
The 2026 U.S. general elections for Congress are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of Republican members of the U.S. House of Representatives who are considered to be retiring or not seeking reelection in 2026.
For the purposes of this market, a member may be considered not to seek reelection if:
• They publicly announce they are retiring from Congress and will not run for reelection to their current seat
• They choose to run for a different elected office in 2026 instead of running for reelection to their current seat
• They do not seek their party’s nomination for reelection to their current seat, meaning they neither file for reelection nor participate in their party’s nominating process (such as a primary, convention, or caucus)
Only members whose current term is scheduled to end with the 2026 regular election for the House may qualify for this market.
This market will not resolve until after the relevant final 2026 candidate filing deadline has passed in all states, which is expected to occur in late August 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve according to the total number of Republican members of the U.S. House of Representatives who are considered to be retiring or not seeking reelection in 2026.
For the purposes of this market, a member may be considered not to seek reelection if:
• They publicly announce they are retiring from Congress and will not run for reelection to their current seat
• They choose to run for a different elected office in 2026 instead of running for reelection to their current seat
• They do not seek their party’s nomination for reelection to their current seat, meaning they neither file for reelection nor participate in their party’s nominating process (such as a primary, convention, or caucus)
Only members whose current term is scheduled to end with the 2026 regular election for the House may qualify for this market.
This market will not resolve until after the relevant final 2026 candidate filing deadline has passed in all states, which is expected to occur in late August 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Thị trường mở: Dec 12, 2025, 6:36 PM ET
Khối lượng
$56,541Ngày kết thúc
Aug 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 12, 2025, 6:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The 2026 U.S. general elections for Congress are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of Republican members of the U.S. House of Representatives who are considered to be retiring or not seeking reelection in 2026.
For the purposes of this market, a member may be considered not to seek reelection if:
• They publicly announce they are retiring from Congress and will not run for reelection to their current seat
• They choose to run for a different elected office in 2026 instead of running for reelection to their current seat
• They do not seek their party’s nomination for reelection to their current seat, meaning they neither file for reelection nor participate in their party’s nominating process (such as a primary, convention, or caucus)
Only members whose current term is scheduled to end with the 2026 regular election for the House may qualify for this market.
This market will not resolve until after the relevant final 2026 candidate filing deadline has passed in all states, which is expected to occur in late August 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Recent announcements show 36 to 37 Republican House members declining to seek re-election in 2026, driven by factors including legislative gridlock, redistricting shifts in several states, and opportunities to pursue governorships or other offices. This pace matches historical highs for a party holding the majority ahead of midterms, with primaries and filing deadlines still ahead in many districts potentially prompting additional exits. Traders price the 36–39, 40–43, and 44+ ranges nearly even because further departures before summer deadlines could easily shift totals upward, while stable conditions or reversals on higher-office bids might cap the count near current levels. Key upcoming catalysts include state-specific candidate filing periods and any late primary challenges that could influence remaining incumbents’ decisions.
The 2026 U.S. general elections for Congress are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of Republican members of the U.S. House of Representatives who are considered to be retiring or not seeking reelection in 2026.
For the purposes of this market, a member may be considered not to seek reelection if:
• They publicly announce they are retiring from Congress and will not run for reelection to their current seat
• They choose to run for a different elected office in 2026 instead of running for reelection to their current seat
• They do not seek their party’s nomination for reelection to their current seat, meaning they neither file for reelection nor participate in their party’s nominating process (such as a primary, convention, or caucus)
Only members whose current term is scheduled to end with the 2026 regular election for the House may qualify for this market.
This market will not resolve until after the relevant final 2026 candidate filing deadline has passed in all states, which is expected to occur in late August 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve according to the total number of Republican members of the U.S. House of Representatives who are considered to be retiring or not seeking reelection in 2026.
For the purposes of this market, a member may be considered not to seek reelection if:
• They publicly announce they are retiring from Congress and will not run for reelection to their current seat
• They choose to run for a different elected office in 2026 instead of running for reelection to their current seat
• They do not seek their party’s nomination for reelection to their current seat, meaning they neither file for reelection nor participate in their party’s nominating process (such as a primary, convention, or caucus)
Only members whose current term is scheduled to end with the 2026 regular election for the House may qualify for this market.
This market will not resolve until after the relevant final 2026 candidate filing deadline has passed in all states, which is expected to occur in late August 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Khối lượng
$56,541Ngày kết thúc
Aug 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 12, 2025, 6:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent announcements show 36 to 37 Republican House members declining to seek re-election in 2026, driven by factors including legislative gridlock, redistricting shifts in several states, and opportunities to pursue governorships or other offices. This pace matches historical highs for a party holding the majority ahead of midterms, with primaries and filing deadlines still ahead in many districts potentially prompting additional exits. Traders price the 36–39, 40–43, and 44+ ranges nearly even because further departures before summer deadlines could easily shift totals upward, while stable conditions or reversals on higher-office bids might cap the count near current levels. Key upcoming catalysts include state-specific candidate filing periods and any late primary challenges that could influence remaining incumbents’ decisions.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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