Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 57.5% implied probability for SpaceX's IPO valuation landing at $1.75-2.00 trillion, reflecting the company's April 2026 confidential S-1 filing targeting that range, bolstered by its February xAI merger that elevated private valuation to $1.25 trillion and a December 2025 tender offer at $800 billion. Surging Starlink revenue—projected at $15-16 billion for 2025—alongside Starship milestones and AI integration synergies have fueled optimism, pushing 29% odds for $2.00-2.25 trillion despite valuation skepticism. A June roadshow and potential listing loom as pivotal catalysts amid high secondary market demand.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật1.75-2.00T 53%
1.50-1.75T 15.7%
2.25-2.50T 14.7%
2.00-2.25T 11%
$132,959 KL.
$132,959 KL.
<1.25T
<1%
1.25-1.50T
6%
1.50-1.75T
22%
1.75-2.00T
53%
2.00-2.25T
28%
2.25-2.50T
15%
2.50T+
6%
1.75-2.00T 53%
1.50-1.75T 15.7%
2.25-2.50T 14.7%
2.00-2.25T 11%
$132,959 KL.
$132,959 KL.
<1.25T
$60,323 KL.
<1%
1.25-1.50T
$16,025 KL.
6%
1.50-1.75T
$8,945 KL.
22%
1.75-2.00T
$12,910 KL.
53%
2.00-2.25T
$13,938 KL.
28%
2.25-2.50T
$10,055 KL.
15%
2.50T+
$10,762 KL.
6%
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 57.5% implied probability for SpaceX's IPO valuation landing at $1.75-2.00 trillion, reflecting the company's April 2026 confidential S-1 filing targeting that range, bolstered by its February xAI merger that elevated private valuation to $1.25 trillion and a December 2025 tender offer at $800 billion. Surging Starlink revenue—projected at $15-16 billion for 2025—alongside Starship milestones and AI integration synergies have fueled optimism, pushing 29% odds for $2.00-2.25 trillion despite valuation skepticism. A June roadshow and potential listing loom as pivotal catalysts amid high secondary market demand.
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Mar 25, 2026, 6:10 PM ET
Khối lượng
$132,959Thị trường mở
Mar 25, 2026, 6:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 57.5% implied probability for SpaceX's IPO valuation landing at $1.75-2.00 trillion, reflecting the company's April 2026 confidential S-1 filing targeting that range, bolstered by its February xAI merger that elevated private valuation to $1.25 trillion and a December 2025 tender offer at $800 billion. Surging Starlink revenue—projected at $15-16 billion for 2025—alongside Starship milestones and AI integration synergies have fueled optimism, pushing 29% odds for $2.00-2.25 trillion despite valuation skepticism. A June roadshow and potential listing loom as pivotal catalysts amid high secondary market demand.
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Khối lượng
$132,959Thị trường mở
Mar 25, 2026, 6:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 57.5% implied probability for SpaceX's IPO valuation landing at $1.75-2.00 trillion, reflecting the company's April 2026 confidential S-1 filing targeting that range, bolstered by its February xAI merger that elevated private valuation to $1.25 trillion and a December 2025 tender offer at $800 billion. Surging Starlink revenue—projected at $15-16 billion for 2025—alongside Starship milestones and AI integration synergies have fueled optimism, pushing 29% odds for $2.00-2.25 trillion despite valuation skepticism. A June roadshow and potential listing loom as pivotal catalysts amid high secondary market demand.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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