Recent confidential SEC filings and reports of an anticipated summer 2026 IPO have anchored trader sentiment around a $1.75–2.00 trillion valuation for SpaceX, now commanding 59% market-implied odds. This positioning reflects the company’s rapid Starlink subscriber expansion, dominant launch market share, and revenue trajectory exceeding $15 billion in 2025, which together support premium multiples despite elevated price-to-sales ratios. Earlier 2026 private tender offers and the xAI merger established a $1.25 trillion base, while analyst estimates from firms like PitchBook and Morningstar cluster in the $1.1–1.7 trillion range, tempering upside bets above $2 trillion. With roadshow activity potentially beginning in June and no major regulatory hurdles yet disclosed, these developments continue to shape the tight clustering of probabilities in the leading tranche.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật1.75-2.00T 61%
2.00-2.25T 8%
2.25-2.50T 7.7%
2.50T+ 6.2%
$133,671 KL.
$133,671 KL.
<1.25T
1%
1.25-1.50T
4%
1.50-1.75T
21%
1.75-2.00T
57%
2.00-2.25T
8%
2.25-2.50T
8%
2.50T+
6%
1.75-2.00T 61%
2.00-2.25T 8%
2.25-2.50T 7.7%
2.50T+ 6.2%
$133,671 KL.
$133,671 KL.
<1.25T
$60,323 KL.
1%
1.25-1.50T
$16,039 KL.
4%
1.50-1.75T
$9,240 KL.
21%
1.75-2.00T
$12,949 KL.
57%
2.00-2.25T
$14,286 KL.
8%
2.25-2.50T
$10,055 KL.
8%
2.50T+
$10,779 KL.
6%
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent confidential SEC filings and reports of an anticipated summer 2026 IPO have anchored trader sentiment around a $1.75–2.00 trillion valuation for SpaceX, now commanding 59% market-implied odds. This positioning reflects the company’s rapid Starlink subscriber expansion, dominant launch market share, and revenue trajectory exceeding $15 billion in 2025, which together support premium multiples despite elevated price-to-sales ratios. Earlier 2026 private tender offers and the xAI merger established a $1.25 trillion base, while analyst estimates from firms like PitchBook and Morningstar cluster in the $1.1–1.7 trillion range, tempering upside bets above $2 trillion. With roadshow activity potentially beginning in June and no major regulatory hurdles yet disclosed, these developments continue to shape the tight clustering of probabilities in the leading tranche.
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Mar 25, 2026, 6:10 PM ET
Khối lượng
$133,671Thị trường mở
Mar 25, 2026, 6:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent confidential SEC filings and reports of an anticipated summer 2026 IPO have anchored trader sentiment around a $1.75–2.00 trillion valuation for SpaceX, now commanding 59% market-implied odds. This positioning reflects the company’s rapid Starlink subscriber expansion, dominant launch market share, and revenue trajectory exceeding $15 billion in 2025, which together support premium multiples despite elevated price-to-sales ratios. Earlier 2026 private tender offers and the xAI merger established a $1.25 trillion base, while analyst estimates from firms like PitchBook and Morningstar cluster in the $1.1–1.7 trillion range, tempering upside bets above $2 trillion. With roadshow activity potentially beginning in June and no major regulatory hurdles yet disclosed, these developments continue to shape the tight clustering of probabilities in the leading tranche.
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Khối lượng
$133,671Thị trường mở
Mar 25, 2026, 6:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent confidential SEC filings and reports of an anticipated summer 2026 IPO have anchored trader sentiment around a $1.75–2.00 trillion valuation for SpaceX, now commanding 59% market-implied odds. This positioning reflects the company’s rapid Starlink subscriber expansion, dominant launch market share, and revenue trajectory exceeding $15 billion in 2025, which together support premium multiples despite elevated price-to-sales ratios. Earlier 2026 private tender offers and the xAI merger established a $1.25 trillion base, while analyst estimates from firms like PitchBook and Morningstar cluster in the $1.1–1.7 trillion range, tempering upside bets above $2 trillion. With roadshow activity potentially beginning in June and no major regulatory hurdles yet disclosed, these developments continue to shape the tight clustering of probabilities in the leading tranche.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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