SpaceX’s accelerated IPO timeline, with confidential SEC filings and a targeted Nasdaq debut as early as mid-June 2026, is anchoring trader sentiment around the $1.75–2.00 trillion valuation band. Recent reports indicate the company aims to raise approximately $75 billion at a $1.75–2.00 trillion post-money valuation to fund Starlink expansion and Starship development, up from earlier private-market levels near $800 billion. This positioning aligns with the 56.5% market-implied probability for the 1.75–2.00T range, while the 22.0% odds on 2.00–2.25T reflect optimism around revenue growth exceeding $15 billion annually and strong institutional demand. Traders are also pricing in the 21.1% chance for 1.50–1.75T amid uncertainty over final pricing after the roadshow. Upcoming catalysts include the expected prospectus release in the coming weeks and any revisions to earnings guidance that could shift implied probabilities.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật1.75-2.00T 61%
2.00-2.25T 12%
2.25-2.50T 7.7%
2.50T+ 6.0%
$133,822 KL.
$133,822 KL.
<1.25T
2%
1.25-1.50T
4%
1.50-1.75T
21%
1.75-2.00T
57%
2.00-2.25T
29%
2.25-2.50T
8%
2.50T+
6%
1.75-2.00T 61%
2.00-2.25T 12%
2.25-2.50T 7.7%
2.50T+ 6.0%
$133,822 KL.
$133,822 KL.
<1.25T
$60,444 KL.
2%
1.25-1.50T
$16,039 KL.
4%
1.50-1.75T
$9,240 KL.
21%
1.75-2.00T
$12,949 KL.
57%
2.00-2.25T
$14,316 KL.
29%
2.25-2.50T
$10,055 KL.
8%
2.50T+
$10,779 KL.
6%
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.SpaceX’s accelerated IPO timeline, with confidential SEC filings and a targeted Nasdaq debut as early as mid-June 2026, is anchoring trader sentiment around the $1.75–2.00 trillion valuation band. Recent reports indicate the company aims to raise approximately $75 billion at a $1.75–2.00 trillion post-money valuation to fund Starlink expansion and Starship development, up from earlier private-market levels near $800 billion. This positioning aligns with the 56.5% market-implied probability for the 1.75–2.00T range, while the 22.0% odds on 2.00–2.25T reflect optimism around revenue growth exceeding $15 billion annually and strong institutional demand. Traders are also pricing in the 21.1% chance for 1.50–1.75T amid uncertainty over final pricing after the roadshow. Upcoming catalysts include the expected prospectus release in the coming weeks and any revisions to earnings guidance that could shift implied probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Mar 25, 2026, 6:10 PM ET
Khối lượng
$133,822Thị trường mở
Mar 25, 2026, 6:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.SpaceX’s accelerated IPO timeline, with confidential SEC filings and a targeted Nasdaq debut as early as mid-June 2026, is anchoring trader sentiment around the $1.75–2.00 trillion valuation band. Recent reports indicate the company aims to raise approximately $75 billion at a $1.75–2.00 trillion post-money valuation to fund Starlink expansion and Starship development, up from earlier private-market levels near $800 billion. This positioning aligns with the 56.5% market-implied probability for the 1.75–2.00T range, while the 22.0% odds on 2.00–2.25T reflect optimism around revenue growth exceeding $15 billion annually and strong institutional demand. Traders are also pricing in the 21.1% chance for 1.50–1.75T amid uncertainty over final pricing after the roadshow. Upcoming catalysts include the expected prospectus release in the coming weeks and any revisions to earnings guidance that could shift implied probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Khối lượng
$133,822Thị trường mở
Mar 25, 2026, 6:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...SpaceX’s accelerated IPO timeline, with confidential SEC filings and a targeted Nasdaq debut as early as mid-June 2026, is anchoring trader sentiment around the $1.75–2.00 trillion valuation band. Recent reports indicate the company aims to raise approximately $75 billion at a $1.75–2.00 trillion post-money valuation to fund Starlink expansion and Starship development, up from earlier private-market levels near $800 billion. This positioning aligns with the 56.5% market-implied probability for the 1.75–2.00T range, while the 22.0% odds on 2.00–2.25T reflect optimism around revenue growth exceeding $15 billion annually and strong institutional demand. Traders are also pricing in the 21.1% chance for 1.50–1.75T amid uncertainty over final pricing after the roadshow. Upcoming catalysts include the expected prospectus release in the coming weeks and any revisions to earnings guidance that could shift implied probabilities.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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