Recent increases in active listings across the DC Metro area, driven by federal workforce uncertainties and policy shifts, have tempered upward momentum and positioned the 559-566k range as the leading market-implied outcome with 43% probability. April 2026 data showed median sale prices near 661k alongside modest year-over-year gains, while Zillow’s Home Value Index hovered around 580k in late April, reflecting softening buyer demand amid rising supply. Trader consensus, backed by real capital at risk, assigns 22.5% and 21.5% to the adjacent 553-559k and 566-572k bands, underscoring a tight contest ahead of the May 31 resolution. Key near-term catalysts include mortgage rate trends and fresh labor market signals that could further shape sentiment in this closely balanced window.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtWhat will the median home value in the DC Metro area be on May 31?
What will the median home value in the DC Metro area be on May 31?
559 - 566k 42%
553 - 559k 31%
566 - 572k 24%
572 - 579k 10%
MỚI
MỚI
May 31, 2026
<553k
7%
553 - 559k
23%
559 - 566k
43%
566 - 572k
21%
572 - 579k
10%
579 - 585k
7%
585 - 598k
8%
>598k
7%
559 - 566k 42%
553 - 559k 31%
566 - 572k 24%
572 - 579k 10%
MỚI
MỚI
May 31, 2026
<553k
$0 KL.
7%
553 - 559k
$96 KL.
23%
559 - 566k
$95 KL.
43%
566 - 572k
$1,002 KL.
21%
572 - 579k
$0 KL.
10%
579 - 585k
$0 KL.
7%
585 - 598k
$6 KL.
8%
>598k
$0 KL.
7%
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on May 31, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/36)
Recent increases in active listings across the DC Metro area, driven by federal workforce uncertainties and policy shifts, have tempered upward momentum and positioned the 559-566k range as the leading market-implied outcome with 43% probability. April 2026 data showed median sale prices near 661k alongside modest year-over-year gains, while Zillow’s Home Value Index hovered around 580k in late April, reflecting softening buyer demand amid rising supply. Trader consensus, backed by real capital at risk, assigns 22.5% and 21.5% to the adjacent 553-559k and 566-572k bands, underscoring a tight contest ahead of the May 31 resolution. Key near-term catalysts include mortgage rate trends and fresh labor market signals that could further shape sentiment in this closely balanced window.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on May 31, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/36)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/36)
Thị trường mở: May 4, 2026, 6:21 PM ET
Khối lượng
$1,199Ngày kết thúc
May 31, 2026Thị trường mở
May 4, 2026, 6:21 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on May 31, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/36)
Recent increases in active listings across the DC Metro area, driven by federal workforce uncertainties and policy shifts, have tempered upward momentum and positioned the 559-566k range as the leading market-implied outcome with 43% probability. April 2026 data showed median sale prices near 661k alongside modest year-over-year gains, while Zillow’s Home Value Index hovered around 580k in late April, reflecting softening buyer demand amid rising supply. Trader consensus, backed by real capital at risk, assigns 22.5% and 21.5% to the adjacent 553-559k and 566-572k bands, underscoring a tight contest ahead of the May 31 resolution. Key near-term catalysts include mortgage rate trends and fresh labor market signals that could further shape sentiment in this closely balanced window.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on May 31, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/36)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/36)
Khối lượng
$1,199Ngày kết thúc
May 31, 2026Thị trường mở
May 4, 2026, 6:21 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent increases in active listings across the DC Metro area, driven by federal workforce uncertainties and policy shifts, have tempered upward momentum and positioned the 559-566k range as the leading market-implied outcome with 43% probability. April 2026 data showed median sale prices near 661k alongside modest year-over-year gains, while Zillow’s Home Value Index hovered around 580k in late April, reflecting softening buyer demand amid rising supply. Trader consensus, backed by real capital at risk, assigns 22.5% and 21.5% to the adjacent 553-559k and 566-572k bands, underscoring a tight contest ahead of the May 31 resolution. Key near-term catalysts include mortgage rate trends and fresh labor market signals that could further shape sentiment in this closely balanced window.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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