President Donald Trump's state visit to China, officially scheduled from May 13 to 15, 2026, for a summit with President Xi Jinping on trade, the Iran conflict, Taiwan, and technology, drives trader consensus at 98% for departure on May 15. Trump arrived in Beijing on May 13 amid ceremonial welcomes, with bilateral meetings underway on May 14 as planned, showing no disruptions or extensions per White House and Chinese announcements. This commanding position reflects the fixed itinerary typical of such high-stakes diplomacy, reinforced by historical precedents for two-day presidential summits. Realistic challenges include unforeseen escalations in talks, health incidents, flight delays, or late diplomatic breakthroughs prompting an extra day, though no current signals indicate these.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtWhen will Trump leave China?
When will Trump leave China?
May 15 98.2%
May 16 1.0%
May 14 <1%
After May 18 <1%
$74,861 KL.
$74,861 KL.
May 20, 2026
May 14
1%
May 15
98%
May 16
1%
May 17
<1%
May 18
<1%
After May 18
<1%
May 15 98.2%
May 16 1.0%
May 14 <1%
After May 18 <1%
$74,861 KL.
$74,861 KL.
May 20, 2026
May 14
$17,335 KL.
1%
May 15
$15,719 KL.
98%
May 16
$14,637 KL.
1%
May 17
$5,130 KL.
<1%
May 18
$1,219 KL.
<1%
After May 18
$2,830 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the calendar day, in China Standard Time, on which Donald Trump physically leaves China during his first visit to China that begins by May 18, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time.
A "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of China. Trump will be considered to leave China once he physically leaves the terrestrial and maritime territory of China. Trump’s presence in Chinese airspace will not be considered as being physically present in China.
If Donald Trump begins visits China before May 18, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, but does not leave China by that time, this market will resolve to “After May 18”.
If Donald Trump does not visit China by May 18, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to “No visit by May 18”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts, and a consensus of credible reporting.President Donald Trump's state visit to China, officially scheduled from May 13 to 15, 2026, for a summit with President Xi Jinping on trade, the Iran conflict, Taiwan, and technology, drives trader consensus at 98% for departure on May 15. Trump arrived in Beijing on May 13 amid ceremonial welcomes, with bilateral meetings underway on May 14 as planned, showing no disruptions or extensions per White House and Chinese announcements. This commanding position reflects the fixed itinerary typical of such high-stakes diplomacy, reinforced by historical precedents for two-day presidential summits. Realistic challenges include unforeseen escalations in talks, health incidents, flight delays, or late diplomatic breakthroughs prompting an extra day, though no current signals indicate these.
This market will resolve according to the calendar day, in China Standard Time, on which Donald Trump physically leaves China during his first visit to China that begins by May 18, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time.
A "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of China. Trump will be considered to leave China once he physically leaves the terrestrial and maritime territory of China. Trump’s presence in Chinese airspace will not be considered as being physically present in China.
If Donald Trump begins visits China before May 18, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, but does not leave China by that time, this market will resolve to “After May 18”.
If Donald Trump does not visit China by May 18, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to “No visit by May 18”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of China. Trump will be considered to leave China once he physically leaves the terrestrial and maritime territory of China. Trump’s presence in Chinese airspace will not be considered as being physically present in China.
If Donald Trump begins visits China before May 18, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, but does not leave China by that time, this market will resolve to “After May 18”.
If Donald Trump does not visit China by May 18, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to “No visit by May 18”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Thị trường mở: May 11, 2026, 4:26 PM ET
Khối lượng
$74,861Ngày kết thúc
May 20, 2026Thị trường mở
May 11, 2026, 4:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the calendar day, in China Standard Time, on which Donald Trump physically leaves China during his first visit to China that begins by May 18, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time.
A "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of China. Trump will be considered to leave China once he physically leaves the terrestrial and maritime territory of China. Trump’s presence in Chinese airspace will not be considered as being physically present in China.
If Donald Trump begins visits China before May 18, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, but does not leave China by that time, this market will resolve to “After May 18”.
If Donald Trump does not visit China by May 18, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to “No visit by May 18”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts, and a consensus of credible reporting.President Donald Trump's state visit to China, officially scheduled from May 13 to 15, 2026, for a summit with President Xi Jinping on trade, the Iran conflict, Taiwan, and technology, drives trader consensus at 98% for departure on May 15. Trump arrived in Beijing on May 13 amid ceremonial welcomes, with bilateral meetings underway on May 14 as planned, showing no disruptions or extensions per White House and Chinese announcements. This commanding position reflects the fixed itinerary typical of such high-stakes diplomacy, reinforced by historical precedents for two-day presidential summits. Realistic challenges include unforeseen escalations in talks, health incidents, flight delays, or late diplomatic breakthroughs prompting an extra day, though no current signals indicate these.
This market will resolve according to the calendar day, in China Standard Time, on which Donald Trump physically leaves China during his first visit to China that begins by May 18, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time.
A "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of China. Trump will be considered to leave China once he physically leaves the terrestrial and maritime territory of China. Trump’s presence in Chinese airspace will not be considered as being physically present in China.
If Donald Trump begins visits China before May 18, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, but does not leave China by that time, this market will resolve to “After May 18”.
If Donald Trump does not visit China by May 18, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to “No visit by May 18”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of China. Trump will be considered to leave China once he physically leaves the terrestrial and maritime territory of China. Trump’s presence in Chinese airspace will not be considered as being physically present in China.
If Donald Trump begins visits China before May 18, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, but does not leave China by that time, this market will resolve to “After May 18”.
If Donald Trump does not visit China by May 18, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to “No visit by May 18”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Khối lượng
$74,861Ngày kết thúc
May 20, 2026Thị trường mở
May 11, 2026, 4:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...President Donald Trump's state visit to China, officially scheduled from May 13 to 15, 2026, for a summit with President Xi Jinping on trade, the Iran conflict, Taiwan, and technology, drives trader consensus at 98% for departure on May 15. Trump arrived in Beijing on May 13 amid ceremonial welcomes, with bilateral meetings underway on May 14 as planned, showing no disruptions or extensions per White House and Chinese announcements. This commanding position reflects the fixed itinerary typical of such high-stakes diplomacy, reinforced by historical precedents for two-day presidential summits. Realistic challenges include unforeseen escalations in talks, health incidents, flight delays, or late diplomatic breakthroughs prompting an extra day, though no current signals indicate these.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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