Anthropic's recent Claude Opus releases, including the July launch of Opus 5 and strong showings from Opus 4.8 variants, have driven the market's 97.4% consensus by topping key benchmarks such as SWE-bench for coding, LMArena human preferences, and prose quality evaluations. Traders see these large language models outperforming OpenAI's GPT-5 series in accuracy and natural output while edging Google Gemini on frontier capabilities, reflecting consistent developer and enterprise adoption signals. With end-of-August resolution imminent, a surprise multimodal or agentic breakthrough from competitors could shift odds, though current trajectories and release cadence make such reversals unlikely absent major undisclosed progress.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtAnthropic 97.2%
OpenAI 1.8%
Google <1%
Meta <1%
$1,816,682 KL.
$1,816,682 KL.
Aug 31, 2026
Anthropic
97%
OpenAI
2%
1%
Meta
<1%
Alibaba
<1%
Z.ai
<1%
SpaceXAI
<1%
DeepSeek
<1%
Moonshot
<1%
Baidu
<1%
Xiaomi
<1%
Amazon
<1%
Bytedance
<1%
Nvidia
<1%
Thinky
<1%
MiniMax
<1%
Mistral
<1%
Meituan
<1%
Tencent
<1%
StepFun
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
Anthropic 97.2%
OpenAI 1.8%
Google <1%
Meta <1%
$1,816,682 KL.
$1,816,682 KL.
Aug 31, 2026
Anthropic
$371,909 KL.
97%
OpenAI
$154,689 KL.
2%
$140,296 KL.
1%
Meta
$149,725 KL.
<1%
Alibaba
$139,475 KL.
<1%
Z.ai
$150,365 KL.
<1%
SpaceXAI
$154,631 KL.
<1%
DeepSeek
$225,827 KL.
<1%
Moonshot
$108,007 KL.
<1%
Baidu
$15,032 KL.
<1%
Xiaomi
$11,009 KL.
<1%
Amazon
$9,778 KL.
<1%
Bytedance
$103,190 KL.
<1%
Nvidia
$11,465 KL.
<1%
Thinky
$14,084 KL.
<1%
MiniMax
$28,168 KL.
<1%
Mistral
$4,351 KL.
<1%
Meituan
$3,803 KL.
<1%
Tencent
$4,363 KL.
<1%
StepFun
$4,993 KL.
<1%
Microsoft
$11,524 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Anthropic's recent Claude Opus releases, including the July launch of Opus 5 and strong showings from Opus 4.8 variants, have driven the market's 97.4% consensus by topping key benchmarks such as SWE-bench for coding, LMArena human preferences, and prose quality evaluations. Traders see these large language models outperforming OpenAI's GPT-5 series in accuracy and natural output while edging Google Gemini on frontier capabilities, reflecting consistent developer and enterprise adoption signals. With end-of-August resolution imminent, a surprise multimodal or agentic breakthrough from competitors could shift odds, though current trajectories and release cadence make such reversals unlikely absent major undisclosed progress.
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Thị trường mở: Jul 16, 2026, 11:09 PM ET
Khối lượng
$1,816,682Ngày kết thúc
Aug 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 16, 2026, 11:09 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-controlResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Anthropic's recent Claude Opus releases, including the July launch of Opus 5 and strong showings from Opus 4.8 variants, have driven the market's 97.4% consensus by topping key benchmarks such as SWE-bench for coding, LMArena human preferences, and prose quality evaluations. Traders see these large language models outperforming OpenAI's GPT-5 series in accuracy and natural output while edging Google Gemini on frontier capabilities, reflecting consistent developer and enterprise adoption signals. With end-of-August resolution imminent, a surprise multimodal or agentic breakthrough from competitors could shift odds, though current trajectories and release cadence make such reversals unlikely absent major undisclosed progress.
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Khối lượng
$1,816,682Ngày kết thúc
Aug 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 16, 2026, 11:09 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-controlResolver
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic's recent Claude Opus releases, including the July launch of Opus 5 and strong showings from Opus 4.8 variants, have driven the market's 97.4% consensus by topping key benchmarks such as SWE-bench for coding, LMArena human preferences, and prose quality evaluations. Traders see these large language models outperforming OpenAI's GPT-5 series in accuracy and natural output while edging Google Gemini on frontier capabilities, reflecting consistent developer and enterprise adoption signals. With end-of-August resolution imminent, a surprise multimodal or agentic breakthrough from competitors could shift odds, though current trajectories and release cadence make such reversals unlikely absent major undisclosed progress.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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