Joe Baldacci leads the ME-02 Democratic primary field with trader consensus at 72.5 percent, driven by his recent addition to the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee’s Red to Blue program, which provides national fundraising and organizational support ahead of the June 9 primary. His background as a state senator and former Bangor mayor, combined with family ties to prior district representation, has consolidated establishment backing in this Republican-leaning district vacated by Jared Golden. Matthew Dunlap holds 23.5 percent on the strength of his record as state auditor and longstanding local service, though he trails in recent momentum. Jordan Wood, Paige Loud, and any residual Golden interest remain at single-digit levels amid limited polling shifts and lower visibility in the final weeks before ranked-choice voting.