The Democratic primary for New York’s 12th congressional district remains closely contested ahead of the June 23 vote to replace retiring Representative Jerry Nadler. Micah Lasher and Alex Bores, both sitting state assembly members, hold the strongest positions, drawing support from their respective West Side and East Side bases along with substantial outside spending that has intensified in recent weeks. Lasher benefits from high-profile endorsements and heavy advertising from aligned super PACs, while Bores maintains solid backing despite targeted opposition from competing industry groups. Jack Schlossberg’s early name recognition has not translated into sustained momentum in newer surveys. The large pool of undecided voters and overlapping progressive priorities on housing, public safety, and economic issues keep the contest fluid, with any late endorsements, debate performances, or shifts in turnout among Manhattan Democrats potentially widening the gap between the frontrunners.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMicah Lasher 45%
Alex Bores 39%
Jack Schlossberg 13%
Cameron Kasky <1%
$362,508 KL.
$362,508 KL.
Micah Lasher
45%
Alex Bores
39%
Jack Schlossberg
13%
Cameron Kasky
<1%
Liz Krueger
<1%
Brad Hoylman-Sigal
<1%
Keith Powers
<1%
Erik Bottcher
<1%
Carolyn Maloney
<1%
Gale Brewer
<1%
Brad Lander
<1%
Lina Khan
<1%
Julie Menin
<1%
Chelsea Clinton
<1%
Liam Elkind
<1%
Scott Stringer
<1%
Andrew Cuomo
<1%
Cynthia Nixon
<1%
George Conway
<1%
Micah Lasher 45%
Alex Bores 39%
Jack Schlossberg 13%
Cameron Kasky <1%
$362,508 KL.
$362,508 KL.
Micah Lasher
45%
Alex Bores
39%
Jack Schlossberg
13%
Cameron Kasky
<1%
Liz Krueger
<1%
Brad Hoylman-Sigal
<1%
Keith Powers
<1%
Erik Bottcher
<1%
Carolyn Maloney
<1%
Gale Brewer
<1%
Brad Lander
<1%
Lina Khan
<1%
Julie Menin
<1%
Chelsea Clinton
<1%
Liam Elkind
<1%
Scott Stringer
<1%
Andrew Cuomo
<1%
Cynthia Nixon
<1%
George Conway
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Thị trường mở: Nov 21, 2025, 10:47 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Democratic primary for New York’s 12th congressional district remains closely contested ahead of the June 23 vote to replace retiring Representative Jerry Nadler. Micah Lasher and Alex Bores, both sitting state assembly members, hold the strongest positions, drawing support from their respective West Side and East Side bases along with substantial outside spending that has intensified in recent weeks. Lasher benefits from high-profile endorsements and heavy advertising from aligned super PACs, while Bores maintains solid backing despite targeted opposition from competing industry groups. Jack Schlossberg’s early name recognition has not translated into sustained momentum in newer surveys. The large pool of undecided voters and overlapping progressive priorities on housing, public safety, and economic issues keep the contest fluid, with any late endorsements, debate performances, or shifts in turnout among Manhattan Democrats potentially widening the gap between the frontrunners.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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