Senate Republicans hold a narrow majority and have already invoked the nuclear option in 2025 to streamline confirmation of executive nominees through simple-majority group votes, bypassing the 60-vote cloture threshold for over 1,200 positions. Leaders including Majority Leader John Thune have so far resisted extending this precedent to general legislation, citing long-term risks to minority rights and preferring reconciliation or bipartisan appropriations for priorities such as debt-limit increases and emergency defense funding tied to Iran-related costs. President Trump has repeatedly urged full elimination of the filibuster for measures like the SAVE Act, while Thune has delayed major budget fights until after the November 2026 midterms. These dynamics keep the procedural status quo intact absent new legislative gridlock or shifts in Senate composition.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật$560,745 KL.
Mar 30, 2026
December 31, 2026
6%
$560,745 KL.
December 31, 2026
$5,783 KL.
6%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.Senate Republicans hold a narrow majority and have already invoked the nuclear option in 2025 to streamline confirmation of executive nominees through simple-majority group votes, bypassing the 60-vote cloture threshold for over 1,200 positions. Leaders including Majority Leader John Thune have so far resisted extending this precedent to general legislation, citing long-term risks to minority rights and preferring reconciliation or bipartisan appropriations for priorities such as debt-limit increases and emergency defense funding tied to Iran-related costs. President Trump has repeatedly urged full elimination of the filibuster for measures like the SAVE Act, while Thune has delayed major budget fights until after the November 2026 midterms. These dynamics keep the procedural status quo intact absent new legislative gridlock or shifts in Senate composition.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.
Thị trường mở: Jan 2, 2026, 5:35 PM ET
Khối lượng
$560,745Ngày kết thúc
Mar 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 2, 2026, 5:35 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.Senate Republicans hold a narrow majority and have already invoked the nuclear option in 2025 to streamline confirmation of executive nominees through simple-majority group votes, bypassing the 60-vote cloture threshold for over 1,200 positions. Leaders including Majority Leader John Thune have so far resisted extending this precedent to general legislation, citing long-term risks to minority rights and preferring reconciliation or bipartisan appropriations for priorities such as debt-limit increases and emergency defense funding tied to Iran-related costs. President Trump has repeatedly urged full elimination of the filibuster for measures like the SAVE Act, while Thune has delayed major budget fights until after the November 2026 midterms. These dynamics keep the procedural status quo intact absent new legislative gridlock or shifts in Senate composition.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.
Khối lượng
$560,745Ngày kết thúc
Mar 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 2, 2026, 5:35 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...Senate Republicans hold a narrow majority and have already invoked the nuclear option in 2025 to streamline confirmation of executive nominees through simple-majority group votes, bypassing the 60-vote cloture threshold for over 1,200 positions. Leaders including Majority Leader John Thune have so far resisted extending this precedent to general legislation, citing long-term risks to minority rights and preferring reconciliation or bipartisan appropriations for priorities such as debt-limit increases and emergency defense funding tied to Iran-related costs. President Trump has repeatedly urged full elimination of the filibuster for measures like the SAVE Act, while Thune has delayed major budget fights until after the November 2026 midterms. These dynamics keep the procedural status quo intact absent new legislative gridlock or shifts in Senate composition.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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