Recent shifts in congressional control following the 2026 midterms have increased the implied probability that President Trump will face impeachment before his term concludes in 2029. Democratic majorities in the House have launched formal committee inquiries into administration policies on immigration enforcement and executive actions, aligning with historical patterns where opposition control of the lower chamber raises the likelihood of articles of impeachment. Trader consensus at 65% for a "yes" outcome reflects these procedural developments and upcoming floor votes, though Senate conviction thresholds and potential legal challenges continue to introduce uncertainty into the timeline.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật$62,283 KL.
$62,283 KL.
Jan 20, 2029
$62,283 KL.
$62,283 KL.
Jan 20, 2029
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Recent shifts in congressional control following the 2026 midterms have increased the implied probability that President Trump will face impeachment before his term concludes in 2029. Democratic majorities in the House have launched formal committee inquiries into administration policies on immigration enforcement and executive actions, aligning with historical patterns where opposition control of the lower chamber raises the likelihood of articles of impeachment. Trader consensus at 65% for a "yes" outcome reflects these procedural developments and upcoming floor votes, though Senate conviction thresholds and potential legal challenges continue to introduce uncertainty into the timeline.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Thị trường mở: Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ET
Khối lượng
$62,283Ngày kết thúc
Jan 20, 2029Thị trường mở
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Recent shifts in congressional control following the 2026 midterms have increased the implied probability that President Trump will face impeachment before his term concludes in 2029. Democratic majorities in the House have launched formal committee inquiries into administration policies on immigration enforcement and executive actions, aligning with historical patterns where opposition control of the lower chamber raises the likelihood of articles of impeachment. Trader consensus at 65% for a "yes" outcome reflects these procedural developments and upcoming floor votes, though Senate conviction thresholds and potential legal challenges continue to introduce uncertainty into the timeline.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Khối lượng
$62,283Ngày kết thúc
Jan 20, 2029Thị trường mở
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent shifts in congressional control following the 2026 midterms have increased the implied probability that President Trump will face impeachment before his term concludes in 2029. Democratic majorities in the House have launched formal committee inquiries into administration policies on immigration enforcement and executive actions, aligning with historical patterns where opposition control of the lower chamber raises the likelihood of articles of impeachment. Trader consensus at 65% for a "yes" outcome reflects these procedural developments and upcoming floor votes, though Senate conviction thresholds and potential legal challenges continue to introduce uncertainty into the timeline.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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