President Trump maintains a consistent record of public insults directed at political opponents, foreign leaders, and media figures through Truth Social posts, speeches, and press interactions, including recent exchanges tied to G7 relations, Iran policy, and European allies. As of early July 2026, scheduled public events such as the North Dakota library dedication, Mount Rushmore appearance, and Ankara NATO summit increase opportunities for statements that could meet market criteria for personal or professional attacks. Trader consensus reflects this established pattern of frequent, verifiable disparaging language, with resolution hinging on direct public remarks rather than policy disagreements alone. Historical frequency during active periods supports elevated probabilities on days with media exposure or travel.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMỚI
Jul 31, 2026
July 1
94%
July 2
82%
July 3
94%
July 4
93%
July 5
30%
July 6
84%
July 7
94%
July 8
49%
July 9
50%
July 10
50%
July 11
49%
July 12
49%
July 13
70%
July 14
30%
July 15
50%
July 16
50%
July 17
48%
July 18
49%
July 19
41%
July 20
74%
July 21
84%
July 22
50%
July 23
30%
July 24
79%
July 25
74%
July 26
75%
July 27
50%
July 28
76%
July 29
71%
July 30
74%
July 31
52%
$800 KL.
July 1
$231 KL.
94%
July 2
$11 KL.
82%
July 3
$0 KL.
94%
July 4
$149 KL.
93%
July 5
$6 KL.
30%
July 6
$17 KL.
84%
July 7
$11 KL.
94%
July 8
$6 KL.
49%
July 9
$9 KL.
50%
July 10
$6 KL.
50%
July 11
$6 KL.
49%
July 12
$0 KL.
49%
July 13
$0 KL.
70%
July 14
$72 KL.
30%
July 15
$0 KL.
50%
July 16
$0 KL.
50%
July 17
$0 KL.
48%
July 18
$1 KL.
49%
July 19
$77 KL.
41%
July 20
$0 KL.
74%
July 21
$29 KL.
84%
July 22
$0 KL.
50%
July 23
$69 KL.
30%
July 24
$66 KL.
79%
July 25
$0 KL.
74%
July 26
$1 KL.
75%
July 27
$0 KL.
50%
July 28
$18 KL.
76%
July 29
$17 KL.
71%
July 30
$0 KL.
74%
July 31
$0 KL.
52%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Trump maintains a consistent record of public insults directed at political opponents, foreign leaders, and media figures through Truth Social posts, speeches, and press interactions, including recent exchanges tied to G7 relations, Iran policy, and European allies. As of early July 2026, scheduled public events such as the North Dakota library dedication, Mount Rushmore appearance, and Ankara NATO summit increase opportunities for statements that could meet market criteria for personal or professional attacks. Trader consensus reflects this established pattern of frequent, verifiable disparaging language, with resolution hinging on direct public remarks rather than policy disagreements alone. Historical frequency during active periods supports elevated probabilities on days with media exposure or travel.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Thị trường mở: Jul 1, 2026, 1:41 AM ET
Khối lượng
$800Ngày kết thúc
Jul 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 1, 2026, 1:41 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Trump maintains a consistent record of public insults directed at political opponents, foreign leaders, and media figures through Truth Social posts, speeches, and press interactions, including recent exchanges tied to G7 relations, Iran policy, and European allies. As of early July 2026, scheduled public events such as the North Dakota library dedication, Mount Rushmore appearance, and Ankara NATO summit increase opportunities for statements that could meet market criteria for personal or professional attacks. Trader consensus reflects this established pattern of frequent, verifiable disparaging language, with resolution hinging on direct public remarks rather than policy disagreements alone. Historical frequency during active periods supports elevated probabilities on days with media exposure or travel.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Khối lượng
$800Ngày kết thúc
Jul 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 1, 2026, 1:41 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump maintains a consistent record of public insults directed at political opponents, foreign leaders, and media figures through Truth Social posts, speeches, and press interactions, including recent exchanges tied to G7 relations, Iran policy, and European allies. As of early July 2026, scheduled public events such as the North Dakota library dedication, Mount Rushmore appearance, and Ankara NATO summit increase opportunities for statements that could meet market criteria for personal or professional attacks. Trader consensus reflects this established pattern of frequent, verifiable disparaging language, with resolution hinging on direct public remarks rather than policy disagreements alone. Historical frequency during active periods supports elevated probabilities on days with media exposure or travel.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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