**Traders assign a 94% implied probability that Jones Act cabotage requirements will not be permanently removed by December 31, 2026, reflecting limited legislative momentum for full repeal despite temporary waivers.** The Trump administration has issued and extended waivers since March 2026 to address energy supply disruptions from Middle East conflicts, with the latest extension through November 15 featuring narrowed product coverage and case-by-case vessel availability reviews by the Department of Defense and MARAD. Congressional efforts, such as the Open America’s Waters Act introduced by Rep. McClintock and Sen. Lee, have not advanced amid opposition from House leadership and maritime stakeholders who cite national security, shipbuilding capacity, and U.S. mariner employment concerns. The short remaining timeline and procedural hurdles for permanent statutory change reinforce the current trader consensus.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật5% khả năng
MỚI
MỚI
Dec 31, 2026
5% khả năng
MỚI
MỚI
Dec 31, 2026
The Jones Act of 1920 requires that all goods transported by water between U.S. ports be carried by vessels which are built in the U.S., owned by U.S. citizens, flagged to the U.S., and manned by U.S. crews.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Jones Act is repealed, altered, or invalidated, or new legislation becomes law, such that any of the Jones Act domestic shipping restrictions to vessels which are built in the U.S., owned by U.S. citizens, flagged to the U.S., and manned by U.S. crews are fully removed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A removal of any of the listed domestic shipping requirements will count. For example, the removal of the domestic shipping requirements for ships to be built in and flagged to the U.S., without the removal of the requirements for those ships to be owned by U.S. citizens to be manned by U.S. crews, would count.
New legislation includes any congressional legislation or any executive order, proclamation, memorandum, or other legally-binding executive action which effectively removes one of the listed Jones Act requirements.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the U.S. government. If official information is unavailable or unclear, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Traders assign a 94% implied probability that Jones Act cabotage requirements will not be permanently removed by December 31, 2026, reflecting limited legislative momentum for full repeal despite temporary waivers.** The Trump administration has issued and extended waivers since March 2026 to address energy supply disruptions from Middle East conflicts, with the latest extension through November 15 featuring narrowed product coverage and case-by-case vessel availability reviews by the Department of Defense and MARAD. Congressional efforts, such as the Open America’s Waters Act introduced by Rep. McClintock and Sen. Lee, have not advanced amid opposition from House leadership and maritime stakeholders who cite national security, shipbuilding capacity, and U.S. mariner employment concerns. The short remaining timeline and procedural hurdles for permanent statutory change reinforce the current trader consensus.
The Jones Act of 1920 requires that all goods transported by water between U.S. ports be carried by vessels which are built in the U.S., owned by U.S. citizens, flagged to the U.S., and manned by U.S. crews.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Jones Act is repealed, altered, or invalidated, or new legislation becomes law, such that any of the Jones Act domestic shipping restrictions to vessels which are built in the U.S., owned by U.S. citizens, flagged to the U.S., and manned by U.S. crews are fully removed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A removal of any of the listed domestic shipping requirements will count. For example, the removal of the domestic shipping requirements for ships to be built in and flagged to the U.S., without the removal of the requirements for those ships to be owned by U.S. citizens to be manned by U.S. crews, would count.
New legislation includes any congressional legislation or any executive order, proclamation, memorandum, or other legally-binding executive action which effectively removes one of the listed Jones Act requirements.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the U.S. government. If official information is unavailable or unclear, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Jones Act is repealed, altered, or invalidated, or new legislation becomes law, such that any of the Jones Act domestic shipping restrictions to vessels which are built in the U.S., owned by U.S. citizens, flagged to the U.S., and manned by U.S. crews are fully removed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A removal of any of the listed domestic shipping requirements will count. For example, the removal of the domestic shipping requirements for ships to be built in and flagged to the U.S., without the removal of the requirements for those ships to be owned by U.S. citizens to be manned by U.S. crews, would count.
New legislation includes any congressional legislation or any executive order, proclamation, memorandum, or other legally-binding executive action which effectively removes one of the listed Jones Act requirements.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the U.S. government. If official information is unavailable or unclear, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Jun 29, 2026, 3:17 PM ET
Khối lượng
$2,013Ngày kết thúc
Jan 1, 2027Thị trường mở
Jun 29, 2026, 3:17 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...The Jones Act of 1920 requires that all goods transported by water between U.S. ports be carried by vessels which are built in the U.S., owned by U.S. citizens, flagged to the U.S., and manned by U.S. crews.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Jones Act is repealed, altered, or invalidated, or new legislation becomes law, such that any of the Jones Act domestic shipping restrictions to vessels which are built in the U.S., owned by U.S. citizens, flagged to the U.S., and manned by U.S. crews are fully removed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A removal of any of the listed domestic shipping requirements will count. For example, the removal of the domestic shipping requirements for ships to be built in and flagged to the U.S., without the removal of the requirements for those ships to be owned by U.S. citizens to be manned by U.S. crews, would count.
New legislation includes any congressional legislation or any executive order, proclamation, memorandum, or other legally-binding executive action which effectively removes one of the listed Jones Act requirements.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the U.S. government. If official information is unavailable or unclear, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Traders assign a 94% implied probability that Jones Act cabotage requirements will not be permanently removed by December 31, 2026, reflecting limited legislative momentum for full repeal despite temporary waivers.** The Trump administration has issued and extended waivers since March 2026 to address energy supply disruptions from Middle East conflicts, with the latest extension through November 15 featuring narrowed product coverage and case-by-case vessel availability reviews by the Department of Defense and MARAD. Congressional efforts, such as the Open America’s Waters Act introduced by Rep. McClintock and Sen. Lee, have not advanced amid opposition from House leadership and maritime stakeholders who cite national security, shipbuilding capacity, and U.S. mariner employment concerns. The short remaining timeline and procedural hurdles for permanent statutory change reinforce the current trader consensus.
The Jones Act of 1920 requires that all goods transported by water between U.S. ports be carried by vessels which are built in the U.S., owned by U.S. citizens, flagged to the U.S., and manned by U.S. crews.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Jones Act is repealed, altered, or invalidated, or new legislation becomes law, such that any of the Jones Act domestic shipping restrictions to vessels which are built in the U.S., owned by U.S. citizens, flagged to the U.S., and manned by U.S. crews are fully removed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A removal of any of the listed domestic shipping requirements will count. For example, the removal of the domestic shipping requirements for ships to be built in and flagged to the U.S., without the removal of the requirements for those ships to be owned by U.S. citizens to be manned by U.S. crews, would count.
New legislation includes any congressional legislation or any executive order, proclamation, memorandum, or other legally-binding executive action which effectively removes one of the listed Jones Act requirements.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the U.S. government. If official information is unavailable or unclear, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Jones Act is repealed, altered, or invalidated, or new legislation becomes law, such that any of the Jones Act domestic shipping restrictions to vessels which are built in the U.S., owned by U.S. citizens, flagged to the U.S., and manned by U.S. crews are fully removed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A removal of any of the listed domestic shipping requirements will count. For example, the removal of the domestic shipping requirements for ships to be built in and flagged to the U.S., without the removal of the requirements for those ships to be owned by U.S. citizens to be manned by U.S. crews, would count.
New legislation includes any congressional legislation or any executive order, proclamation, memorandum, or other legally-binding executive action which effectively removes one of the listed Jones Act requirements.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the U.S. government. If official information is unavailable or unclear, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Khối lượng
$2,013Ngày kết thúc
Jan 1, 2027Thị trường mở
Jun 29, 2026, 3:17 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...**Traders assign a 94% implied probability that Jones Act cabotage requirements will not be permanently removed by December 31, 2026, reflecting limited legislative momentum for full repeal despite temporary waivers.** The Trump administration has issued and extended waivers since March 2026 to address energy supply disruptions from Middle East conflicts, with the latest extension through November 15 featuring narrowed product coverage and case-by-case vessel availability reviews by the Department of Defense and MARAD. Congressional efforts, such as the Open America’s Waters Act introduced by Rep. McClintock and Sen. Lee, have not advanced amid opposition from House leadership and maritime stakeholders who cite national security, shipbuilding capacity, and U.S. mariner employment concerns. The short remaining timeline and procedural hurdles for permanent statutory change reinforce the current trader consensus.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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