**Recent Spider-Man: Brand New Day release and associated Marvel buzz have elevated Tom Holland to the market's clearest leader at 17.3% implied probability.** Traders see the film's timely theatrical push and Holland's established franchise role as the strongest near-term driver of Google search volume among actors. Zendaya (3.8%), Jacob Elordi (2.3%), and Timothée Chalamet (4.0%) trail because they lack comparable 2026 tentpole visibility so far. The long list of outcomes clustered near 50% or lower reflects a fragmented field where no single performer has locked in year-long dominance; platform algorithms, social amplification, and additional major releases could still alter cumulative trends before Google's Year in Search snapshot. Market pricing treats current theatrical momentum as the decisive swing factor while acknowledging that late-year events remain capable of shifting relative search interest.