Recent comments from Bank of Korea senior deputy governor Ryoo Sang-dai, signaling it is time to pause easing and consider rate hikes given inflation likely exceeding the prior 2.2% forecast and growth holding near 2.0%, have lifted the implied probability of an increase in the base rate at the July meeting to 21%. The April decision to hold the policy rate steady at 2.50% reflected heightened Middle East geopolitical risks weighing on both growth and price stability, with consumer prices already rising to 2.2% in March on higher oil costs. Traders assign a 66.5% chance to no change, viewing the central bank’s data-dependent stance and external uncertainties as likely to support a cautious pause, while the slim odds of a cut underscore limited downside risks to activity.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於維持不變 67%
提高 33%
下調 1.3%
$13,180 交易量
$13,180 交易量
下調
1%
維持不變
67%
提高
21%
維持不變 67%
提高 33%
下調 1.3%
$13,180 交易量
$13,180 交易量
下調
1%
維持不變
67%
提高
21%
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Korea after its July 16, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Korea meeting schedule: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Korea's policy statement for their July 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the base rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
市場開放時間: Apr 13, 2026, 6:17 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Korea after its July 16, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Korea meeting schedule: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Korea's policy statement for their July 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the base rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent comments from Bank of Korea senior deputy governor Ryoo Sang-dai, signaling it is time to pause easing and consider rate hikes given inflation likely exceeding the prior 2.2% forecast and growth holding near 2.0%, have lifted the implied probability of an increase in the base rate at the July meeting to 21%. The April decision to hold the policy rate steady at 2.50% reflected heightened Middle East geopolitical risks weighing on both growth and price stability, with consumer prices already rising to 2.2% in March on higher oil costs. Traders assign a 66.5% chance to no change, viewing the central bank’s data-dependent stance and external uncertainties as likely to support a cautious pause, while the slim odds of a cut underscore limited downside risks to activity.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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