José Maria Neves leads trader consensus at 67.5% as the PAICV incumbent entering the November 15, 2026, presidential vote, bolstered by his party’s May 2026 parliamentary victory that delivered a National Assembly majority and positioned Francisco Carvalho as prime minister-designate. This outcome reflects the party’s strengthened organizational base and continuity in Cape Verde’s semi-presidential system. Opposition figures from the MpD, including Janine Lélis and Joana Rosa, along with lower-probability names such as Milton Paiva, Joana Rosa, and Casimiro de Pina, trail significantly, as no major late-campaign shifts or cross-party endorsements have altered the balance. Scheduled first-round balloting and potential runoff dynamics remain the primary near-term catalysts that could adjust implied probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於若澤·瑪麗亞·內韋斯 68%
米爾頓·帕伊瓦 9%
Janine Lélis 7%
卡西米羅·德·皮納 6%
最新
最新
2026-11-15
若澤·瑪麗亞·內韋斯
68%
米爾頓·帕伊瓦
9%
Janine Lélis
7%
卡西米羅·德·皮納
6%
佩里克萊斯·塔瓦雷斯
6%
費爾南多·德爾加多
6%
喬安娜·羅莎
8%
若澤·瑪麗亞·內韋斯 68%
米爾頓·帕伊瓦 9%
Janine Lélis 7%
卡西米羅·德·皮納 6%
最新
最新
2026-11-15
若澤·瑪麗亞·內韋斯
$1,332 交易量
68%
米爾頓·帕伊瓦
$295 交易量
9%
Janine Lélis
$249 交易量
7%
卡西米羅·德·皮納
$258 交易量
6%
佩里克萊斯·塔瓦雷斯
$287 交易量
6%
費爾南多·德爾加多
$258 交易量
6%
喬安娜·羅莎
$294 交易量
8%
Presidential elections are currently scheduled to be held in Cape Verde on November 15, 2026, with a second round to be held on November 29, 2026 if no candidate receives a majority of valid votes.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Cape Verde presidential elections. Any interim or caretaker President will not qualify.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of the Cape Verde, including the National Commission of Elections (https://cne.cv/).José Maria Neves leads trader consensus at 67.5% as the PAICV incumbent entering the November 15, 2026, presidential vote, bolstered by his party’s May 2026 parliamentary victory that delivered a National Assembly majority and positioned Francisco Carvalho as prime minister-designate. This outcome reflects the party’s strengthened organizational base and continuity in Cape Verde’s semi-presidential system. Opposition figures from the MpD, including Janine Lélis and Joana Rosa, along with lower-probability names such as Milton Paiva, Joana Rosa, and Casimiro de Pina, trail significantly, as no major late-campaign shifts or cross-party endorsements have altered the balance. Scheduled first-round balloting and potential runoff dynamics remain the primary near-term catalysts that could adjust implied probabilities.
Presidential elections are currently scheduled to be held in Cape Verde on November 15, 2026, with a second round to be held on November 29, 2026 if no candidate receives a majority of valid votes.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Cape Verde presidential elections. Any interim or caretaker President will not qualify.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of the Cape Verde, including the National Commission of Elections (https://cne.cv/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Cape Verde presidential elections. Any interim or caretaker President will not qualify.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of the Cape Verde, including the National Commission of Elections (https://cne.cv/).
市場開放時間： Aug 11, 2026, 8:33 AM ET
交易量
$2,973結束日期
2026-11-15市場開放時間
Aug 11, 2026, 8:33 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Presidential elections are currently scheduled to be held in Cape Verde on November 15, 2026, with a second round to be held on November 29, 2026 if no candidate receives a majority of valid votes.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Cape Verde presidential elections. Any interim or caretaker President will not qualify.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of the Cape Verde, including the National Commission of Elections (https://cne.cv/).José Maria Neves leads trader consensus at 67.5% as the PAICV incumbent entering the November 15, 2026, presidential vote, bolstered by his party’s May 2026 parliamentary victory that delivered a National Assembly majority and positioned Francisco Carvalho as prime minister-designate. This outcome reflects the party’s strengthened organizational base and continuity in Cape Verde’s semi-presidential system. Opposition figures from the MpD, including Janine Lélis and Joana Rosa, along with lower-probability names such as Milton Paiva, Joana Rosa, and Casimiro de Pina, trail significantly, as no major late-campaign shifts or cross-party endorsements have altered the balance. Scheduled first-round balloting and potential runoff dynamics remain the primary near-term catalysts that could adjust implied probabilities.
Presidential elections are currently scheduled to be held in Cape Verde on November 15, 2026, with a second round to be held on November 29, 2026 if no candidate receives a majority of valid votes.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Cape Verde presidential elections. Any interim or caretaker President will not qualify.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of the Cape Verde, including the National Commission of Elections (https://cne.cv/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Cape Verde presidential elections. Any interim or caretaker President will not qualify.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of the Cape Verde, including the National Commission of Elections (https://cne.cv/).
交易量
$2,973結束日期
2026-11-15市場開放時間
Aug 11, 2026, 8:33 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...José Maria Neves leads trader consensus at 67.5% as the PAICV incumbent entering the November 15, 2026, presidential vote, bolstered by his party’s May 2026 parliamentary victory that delivered a National Assembly majority and positioned Francisco Carvalho as prime minister-designate. This outcome reflects the party’s strengthened organizational base and continuity in Cape Verde’s semi-presidential system. Opposition figures from the MpD, including Janine Lélis and Joana Rosa, along with lower-probability names such as Milton Paiva, Joana Rosa, and Casimiro de Pina, trail significantly, as no major late-campaign shifts or cross-party endorsements have altered the balance. Scheduled first-round balloting and potential runoff dynamics remain the primary near-term catalysts that could adjust implied probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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