**Trader consensus assigns an 87.5% implied probability to "No" for a critical (red-level) Discord incident by June 30, 2026, reflecting the platform’s recent operational stability and the short remaining window.** Discord’s official status page has logged no red-classified incidents in June 2026, with only minor API or session issues earlier in the year that resolved quickly without reaching critical severity. The company continues routine reliability work, including the June 4 patch notes addressing performance and bugs, while community channels show active but routine troubleshooting rather than systemic failures. Comparable prior markets (April and May deadlines) resolved to No, reinforcing the pattern that major outages remain infrequent. With roughly three weeks left and no emerging reports of widespread service degradation, security breaches, or infrastructure strain, traders view a sudden red-level event as low-probability despite the inherent unpredictability of tech platforms.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於最新
最新
2026-06-30
最新
最新
2026-06-30
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Discord experiences any incident classified as Critical (red) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Qualifying incidents may include outages and other issues that Discord classifies as Critical.
Revisions to the impact classification of any such incident will be considered as long as those revisions are published within this market’s timeframe. However, revisions of a previously published incident impact classification of Critical (red) to another classification will not disqualify an incident from counting.
If an incident is ongoing at this market’s resolution time, the market may remain open until that incident receives an official impact classification, and it will resolve based on the first such classification published, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Discord (for example, on discordstatus.com or discordstatus.com/history); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Note: Discord impact classifications of Major (orange) and Critical (red) are not equivalent.**Trader consensus assigns an 87.5% implied probability to "No" for a critical (red-level) Discord incident by June 30, 2026, reflecting the platform’s recent operational stability and the short remaining window.**
Discord’s official status page has logged no red-classified incidents in June 2026, with only minor API or session issues earlier in the year that resolved quickly without reaching critical severity. The company continues routine reliability work, including the June 4 patch notes addressing performance and bugs, while community channels show active but routine troubleshooting rather than systemic failures.
Comparable prior markets (April and May deadlines) resolved to No, reinforcing the pattern that major outages remain infrequent. With roughly three weeks left and no emerging reports of widespread service degradation, security breaches, or infrastructure strain, traders view a sudden red-level event as low-probability despite the inherent unpredictability of tech platforms.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Discord experiences any incident classified as Critical (red) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Qualifying incidents may include outages and other issues that Discord classifies as Critical.
Revisions to the impact classification of any such incident will be considered as long as those revisions are published within this market’s timeframe. However, revisions of a previously published incident impact classification of Critical (red) to another classification will not disqualify an incident from counting.
If an incident is ongoing at this market’s resolution time, the market may remain open until that incident receives an official impact classification, and it will resolve based on the first such classification published, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Discord (for example, on discordstatus.com or discordstatus.com/history); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Note: Discord impact classifications of Major (orange) and Critical (red) are not equivalent.
Qualifying incidents may include outages and other issues that Discord classifies as Critical.
Revisions to the impact classification of any such incident will be considered as long as those revisions are published within this market’s timeframe. However, revisions of a previously published incident impact classification of Critical (red) to another classification will not disqualify an incident from counting.
If an incident is ongoing at this market’s resolution time, the market may remain open until that incident receives an official impact classification, and it will resolve based on the first such classification published, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Discord (for example, on discordstatus.com or discordstatus.com/history); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Note: Discord impact classifications of Major (orange) and Critical (red) are not equivalent.
市場開放時間： May 26, 2026, 6:34 PM ET
交易量
$1,986結束日期
2026-06-30市場開放時間
May 26, 2026, 6:34 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Discord experiences any incident classified as Critical (red) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Qualifying incidents may include outages and other issues that Discord classifies as Critical.
Revisions to the impact classification of any such incident will be considered as long as those revisions are published within this market’s timeframe. However, revisions of a previously published incident impact classification of Critical (red) to another classification will not disqualify an incident from counting.
If an incident is ongoing at this market’s resolution time, the market may remain open until that incident receives an official impact classification, and it will resolve based on the first such classification published, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Discord (for example, on discordstatus.com or discordstatus.com/history); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Note: Discord impact classifications of Major (orange) and Critical (red) are not equivalent.**Trader consensus assigns an 87.5% implied probability to "No" for a critical (red-level) Discord incident by June 30, 2026, reflecting the platform’s recent operational stability and the short remaining window.**
Discord’s official status page has logged no red-classified incidents in June 2026, with only minor API or session issues earlier in the year that resolved quickly without reaching critical severity. The company continues routine reliability work, including the June 4 patch notes addressing performance and bugs, while community channels show active but routine troubleshooting rather than systemic failures.
Comparable prior markets (April and May deadlines) resolved to No, reinforcing the pattern that major outages remain infrequent. With roughly three weeks left and no emerging reports of widespread service degradation, security breaches, or infrastructure strain, traders view a sudden red-level event as low-probability despite the inherent unpredictability of tech platforms.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Discord experiences any incident classified as Critical (red) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Qualifying incidents may include outages and other issues that Discord classifies as Critical.
Revisions to the impact classification of any such incident will be considered as long as those revisions are published within this market’s timeframe. However, revisions of a previously published incident impact classification of Critical (red) to another classification will not disqualify an incident from counting.
If an incident is ongoing at this market’s resolution time, the market may remain open until that incident receives an official impact classification, and it will resolve based on the first such classification published, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Discord (for example, on discordstatus.com or discordstatus.com/history); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Note: Discord impact classifications of Major (orange) and Critical (red) are not equivalent.
Qualifying incidents may include outages and other issues that Discord classifies as Critical.
Revisions to the impact classification of any such incident will be considered as long as those revisions are published within this market’s timeframe. However, revisions of a previously published incident impact classification of Critical (red) to another classification will not disqualify an incident from counting.
If an incident is ongoing at this market’s resolution time, the market may remain open until that incident receives an official impact classification, and it will resolve based on the first such classification published, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Discord (for example, on discordstatus.com or discordstatus.com/history); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Note: Discord impact classifications of Major (orange) and Critical (red) are not equivalent.
交易量
$1,986結束日期
2026-06-30市場開放時間
May 26, 2026, 6:34 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Trader consensus assigns an 87.5% implied probability to "No" for a critical (red-level) Discord incident by June 30, 2026, reflecting the platform’s recent operational stability and the short remaining window.** Discord’s official status page has logged no red-classified incidents in June 2026, with only minor API or session issues earlier in the year that resolved quickly without reaching critical severity. The company continues routine reliability work, including the June 4 patch notes addressing performance and bugs, while community channels show active but routine troubleshooting rather than systemic failures. Comparable prior markets (April and May deadlines) resolved to No, reinforcing the pattern that major outages remain infrequent. With roughly three weeks left and no emerging reports of widespread service degradation, security breaches, or infrastructure strain, traders view a sudden red-level event as low-probability despite the inherent unpredictability of tech platforms.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions