Iranian authorities imposed a nationwide internet blackout starting January 8, 2026, amid anti-government protests triggered by economic hardship and currency collapse, extending it through subsequent military conflict until partial restoration in late May after an 88-day period—the longest on record. Connectivity has since returned to roughly pre-January levels for some users, though speeds remain low, major platforms stay blocked, and VPN effectiveness has declined under a tiered “whitelist” system favoring elites. Recent developments include a September 2026 draft cyberspace regulation bill that would further centralize gateway control under the Supreme Cyberspace Council, alongside ongoing reports of selective throttling and surveillance. Trader assessments of another total blackout hinge on escalation risks from protests, sanctions, or renewed conflict versus the regime’s shift toward sustained, selective restrictions rather than complete shutdowns.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$249,128 交易量
2026-09-30
9月30日
1%
12月31日
20%
$249,128 交易量
9月30日
$6,892 交易量
1%
12月31日
$12,785 交易量
20%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a total internet blackout occurs in Iran by the specified date, 11:59 PM UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, a “total internet blackout” occurring means that, according to Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, total bytes transferred have fallen to 1.0% or less of the last 4 weeks’ Max for at least six consecutive hourly data points, as shown in the Traffic trends → Bytes transferred (Total bytes) chart for the last 4 weeks (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d).
The relevant figures for each hourly data point are listed in this chart as “__% of Max”. The Max for each data point will be the Max figure used in the chart by Cloudflare.
Only the first of the relevant consecutive hourly data points must fall before this market’s resolution time. If required, to confirm the full sequence, the market will remain open until both relevant data points are observed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, specifically the Iran Traffic trends chart for the last 4 weeks found at https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Iranian authorities imposed a nationwide internet blackout starting January 8, 2026, amid anti-government protests triggered by economic hardship and currency collapse, extending it through subsequent military conflict until partial restoration in late May after an 88-day period—the longest on record. Connectivity has since returned to roughly pre-January levels for some users, though speeds remain low, major platforms stay blocked, and VPN effectiveness has declined under a tiered “whitelist” system favoring elites. Recent developments include a September 2026 draft cyberspace regulation bill that would further centralize gateway control under the Supreme Cyberspace Council, alongside ongoing reports of selective throttling and surveillance. Trader assessments of another total blackout hinge on escalation risks from protests, sanctions, or renewed conflict versus the regime’s shift toward sustained, selective restrictions rather than complete shutdowns.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a total internet blackout occurs in Iran by the specified date, 11:59 PM UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, a “total internet blackout” occurring means that, according to Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, total bytes transferred have fallen to 1.0% or less of the last 4 weeks’ Max for at least six consecutive hourly data points, as shown in the Traffic trends → Bytes transferred (Total bytes) chart for the last 4 weeks (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d).
The relevant figures for each hourly data point are listed in this chart as “__% of Max”. The Max for each data point will be the Max figure used in the chart by Cloudflare.
Only the first of the relevant consecutive hourly data points must fall before this market’s resolution time. If required, to confirm the full sequence, the market will remain open until both relevant data points are observed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, specifically the Iran Traffic trends chart for the last 4 weeks found at https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
For the purposes of this market, a “total internet blackout” occurring means that, according to Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, total bytes transferred have fallen to 1.0% or less of the last 4 weeks’ Max for at least six consecutive hourly data points, as shown in the Traffic trends → Bytes transferred (Total bytes) chart for the last 4 weeks (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d).
The relevant figures for each hourly data point are listed in this chart as “__% of Max”. The Max for each data point will be the Max figure used in the chart by Cloudflare.
Only the first of the relevant consecutive hourly data points must fall before this market’s resolution time. If required, to confirm the full sequence, the market will remain open until both relevant data points are observed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, specifically the Iran Traffic trends chart for the last 4 weeks found at https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Aug 7, 2026, 10:29 AM ET
交易量
$249,128結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Aug 7, 2026, 10:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to “Yes” if a total internet blackout occurs in Iran by the specified date, 11:59 PM UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, a “total internet blackout” occurring means that, according to Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, total bytes transferred have fallen to 1.0% or less of the last 4 weeks’ Max for at least six consecutive hourly data points, as shown in the Traffic trends → Bytes transferred (Total bytes) chart for the last 4 weeks (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d).
The relevant figures for each hourly data point are listed in this chart as “__% of Max”. The Max for each data point will be the Max figure used in the chart by Cloudflare.
Only the first of the relevant consecutive hourly data points must fall before this market’s resolution time. If required, to confirm the full sequence, the market will remain open until both relevant data points are observed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, specifically the Iran Traffic trends chart for the last 4 weeks found at https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Iranian authorities imposed a nationwide internet blackout starting January 8, 2026, amid anti-government protests triggered by economic hardship and currency collapse, extending it through subsequent military conflict until partial restoration in late May after an 88-day period—the longest on record. Connectivity has since returned to roughly pre-January levels for some users, though speeds remain low, major platforms stay blocked, and VPN effectiveness has declined under a tiered “whitelist” system favoring elites. Recent developments include a September 2026 draft cyberspace regulation bill that would further centralize gateway control under the Supreme Cyberspace Council, alongside ongoing reports of selective throttling and surveillance. Trader assessments of another total blackout hinge on escalation risks from protests, sanctions, or renewed conflict versus the regime’s shift toward sustained, selective restrictions rather than complete shutdowns.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a total internet blackout occurs in Iran by the specified date, 11:59 PM UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, a “total internet blackout” occurring means that, according to Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, total bytes transferred have fallen to 1.0% or less of the last 4 weeks’ Max for at least six consecutive hourly data points, as shown in the Traffic trends → Bytes transferred (Total bytes) chart for the last 4 weeks (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d).
The relevant figures for each hourly data point are listed in this chart as “__% of Max”. The Max for each data point will be the Max figure used in the chart by Cloudflare.
Only the first of the relevant consecutive hourly data points must fall before this market’s resolution time. If required, to confirm the full sequence, the market will remain open until both relevant data points are observed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, specifically the Iran Traffic trends chart for the last 4 weeks found at https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
For the purposes of this market, a “total internet blackout” occurring means that, according to Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, total bytes transferred have fallen to 1.0% or less of the last 4 weeks’ Max for at least six consecutive hourly data points, as shown in the Traffic trends → Bytes transferred (Total bytes) chart for the last 4 weeks (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d).
The relevant figures for each hourly data point are listed in this chart as “__% of Max”. The Max for each data point will be the Max figure used in the chart by Cloudflare.
Only the first of the relevant consecutive hourly data points must fall before this market’s resolution time. If required, to confirm the full sequence, the market will remain open until both relevant data points are observed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, specifically the Iran Traffic trends chart for the last 4 weeks found at https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$249,128結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Aug 7, 2026, 10:29 AM ETIranian authorities imposed a nationwide internet blackout starting January 8, 2026, amid anti-government protests triggered by economic hardship and currency collapse, extending it through subsequent military conflict until partial restoration in late May after an 88-day period—the longest on record. Connectivity has since returned to roughly pre-January levels for some users, though speeds remain low, major platforms stay blocked, and VPN effectiveness has declined under a tiered “whitelist” system favoring elites. Recent developments include a September 2026 draft cyberspace regulation bill that would further centralize gateway control under the Supreme Cyberspace Council, alongside ongoing reports of selective throttling and surveillance. Trader assessments of another total blackout hinge on escalation risks from protests, sanctions, or renewed conflict versus the regime’s shift toward sustained, selective restrictions rather than complete shutdowns.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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警惕外部連結哦。
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