Polymarket's official X tracker confirms Elon Musk has posted exactly 164 times from May 1 12:00 PM ET to early May 8, driving 100% trader consensus on the 160-179 range as the noon ET cutoff nears with minimal activity—just three early-morning replies on politics and gaming amid user notes of his uncharacteristically quiet streak. This strong positioning stems from his recent posting cadence dipping below the 23-daily average, influenced by OpenAI trial distractions following a May 1 spike of dozens of viral engagements on demographics and Starlink expansions. While historical patterns show occasional surges from controversies or announcements, an upset to 180+ would demand an improbable 16+ post blitz in the final hours, defying current low-engagement momentum.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於160-179 100.0%
<20 <1%
20-39 <1%
40-59 <1%
$9,406,775 交易量
$9,406,775 交易量
<20
No
20-39
No
40-59
No
60-79
No
80-99
No
100-119
No
120-139
No
140-159
No
160-179
Yes
180-199
No
200-219
No
220-239
No
240-259
No
260-279
No
280-299
No
300-319
No
320-339
No
340-359
No
360-379
No
380-399
No
400-419
No
420-439
No
440-459
No
460-479
No
480-499
No
500+
No
160-179 100.0%
<20 <1%
20-39 <1%
40-59 <1%
$9,406,775 交易量
$9,406,775 交易量
<20
No
20-39
No
40-59
No
60-79
No
80-99
No
100-119
No
120-139
No
140-159
No
160-179
Yes
180-199
No
200-219
No
220-239
No
240-259
No
260-279
No
280-299
No
300-319
No
320-339
No
340-359
No
360-379
No
380-399
No
400-419
No
420-439
No
440-459
No
460-479
No
480-499
No
500+
No
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
市場開放時間： Apr 28, 2026, 1:17 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Polymarket's official X tracker confirms Elon Musk has posted exactly 164 times from May 1 12:00 PM ET to early May 8, driving 100% trader consensus on the 160-179 range as the noon ET cutoff nears with minimal activity—just three early-morning replies on politics and gaming amid user notes of his uncharacteristically quiet streak. This strong positioning stems from his recent posting cadence dipping below the 23-daily average, influenced by OpenAI trial distractions following a May 1 spike of dozens of viral engagements on demographics and Starlink expansions. While historical patterns show occasional surges from controversies or announcements, an upset to 180+ would demand an improbable 16+ post blitz in the final hours, defying current low-engagement momentum.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions