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icon for Elon Musk # tweets May 12 - May 19, 2026?

Elon Musk # tweets May 12 - May 19, 2026?

icon for Elon Musk # tweets May 12 - May 19, 2026?

Elon Musk # tweets May 12 - May 19, 2026?

200-219 44.9%

220-239 33.9%

180-199 8.5%

240-259 7.2%

Polymarket

$9,965,732 交易量

200-219 44.9%

220-239 33.9%

180-199 8.5%

240-259 7.2%

Polymarket

$9,965,732 交易量

140-159

$725,464 交易量

<1%

160-179

$539,939 交易量

<1%

180-199

$414,295 交易量

9%

200-219

$394,458 交易量

45%

220-239

$426,910 交易量

34%

240-259

$335,585 交易量

7%

260-279

$313,617 交易量

2%

280-299

$286,427 交易量

1%

300-319

$332,023 交易量

<1%

320-339

$406,298 交易量

<1%

340-359

$432,852 交易量

<1%

360-379

$416,804 交易量

<1%

380-399

$400,329 交易量

<1%

400-419

$561,173 交易量

<1%

420-439

$166,557 交易量

<1%

440-459

$82,158 交易量

<1%

460-479

$67,054 交易量

<1%

480-499

$29,200 交易量

<1%

500+

$242,680 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 12 12:00 PM ET to May 19, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 200-219 tweets for Elon Musk on X from May 12-19, holding a 44.9% implied probability, followed closely by 220-239 at 34.2%. This positioning stems from his steady daily output of roughly 25-30 posts amid ongoing xAI product drops, SpaceX commentary, and cultural debates, mirroring verified tallies from prior weeks that settled in the low 100s for seven-day spans. Momentum has held without major spikes from elections or launches, though late-week activity on Grok updates and platform milestones could nudge totals higher before the May 19 cutoff. Historical patterns show Musk moderating volume absent breaking news, yet his unpredictable style keeps adjacent bins competitive for traders weighing real-money signals.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 12 12:00 PM ET to May 19, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$9,965,732
結束日期
2026-05-19
市場開放時間
May 9, 2026, 4:07 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 12 12:00 PM ET to May 19, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 12 12:00 PM ET to May 19, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 200-219 tweets for Elon Musk on X from May 12-19, holding a 44.9% implied probability, followed closely by 220-239 at 34.2%. This positioning stems from his steady daily output of roughly 25-30 posts amid ongoing xAI product drops, SpaceX commentary, and cultural debates, mirroring verified tallies from prior weeks that settled in the low 100s for seven-day spans. Momentum has held without major spikes from elections or launches, though late-week activity on Grok updates and platform milestones could nudge totals higher before the May 19 cutoff. Historical patterns show Musk moderating volume absent breaking news, yet his unpredictable style keeps adjacent bins competitive for traders weighing real-money signals.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 12 12:00 PM ET to May 19, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$9,965,732
結束日期
2026-05-19
市場開放時間
May 9, 2026, 4:07 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 12 12:00 PM ET to May 19, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Elon Musk # tweets May 12 - May 19, 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 26 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "200-219" at 45%, followed by "220-239" at 34%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 45¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 45% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Elon Musk # tweets May 12 - May 19, 2026?" has generated $10 million in total trading volume since the market launched on May 9, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Elon Musk # tweets May 12 - May 19, 2026?," browse the 26 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Elon Musk # tweets May 12 - May 19, 2026?" is "200-219" at 45%, meaning the market assigns a 45% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "220-239" at 34%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Elon Musk # tweets May 12 - May 19, 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.