Elon Musk's established posting rhythm on X has anchored the 65-89 tweet range as the dominant market outcome for May 14-16, reflecting his typical daily average of low-to-mid-20s posts without any major announcement or controversy sparking a surge. Traders are pricing in steady engagement patterns observed across similar short windows, where routine commentary and interactions rarely push totals much higher. With no high-profile product launches or viral moments materializing in the window, activity has stayed within historical norms rather than escalating into the upper brackets. A shift toward 90+ would need an unexpected flurry driven by breaking news or rapid-fire replies, though current platform metrics show little sign of that acceleration.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於65-89 100.0%
少於40 <1%
40-64 <1%
90-114 <1%
$2,016,811 交易量
$2,016,811 交易量
2026-05-16
少於40
否
40-64
否
65-89
是
90-114
No
115-139
否
140-164
否
165-189
否
190-214
否
215-239
否
240+
No
65-89 100.0%
少於40 <1%
40-64 <1%
90-114 <1%
$2,016,811 交易量
$2,016,811 交易量
2026-05-16
少於40
$211,695 交易量
否
40-64
$325,845 交易量
否
65-89
$279,228 交易量
是
90-114
$412,743 交易量
No
115-139
$304,652 交易量
否
140-164
$223,875 交易量
否
165-189
$81,234 交易量
否
190-214
$97,631 交易量
否
215-239
$34,198 交易量
否
240+
$45,709 交易量
No
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 14 12:00 PM ET to May 16, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk's established posting rhythm on X has anchored the 65-89 tweet range as the dominant market outcome for May 14-16, reflecting his typical daily average of low-to-mid-20s posts without any major announcement or controversy sparking a surge. Traders are pricing in steady engagement patterns observed across similar short windows, where routine commentary and interactions rarely push totals much higher. With no high-profile product launches or viral moments materializing in the window, activity has stayed within historical norms rather than escalating into the upper brackets. A shift toward 90+ would need an unexpected flurry driven by breaking news or rapid-fire replies, though current platform metrics show little sign of that acceleration.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 14 12:00 PM ET to May 16, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
市場開放時間： May 11, 2026, 12:01 PM ET
交易量
$2,016,811結束日期
2026-05-16市場開放時間
May 11, 2026, 12:01 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 14 12:00 PM ET to May 16, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk's established posting rhythm on X has anchored the 65-89 tweet range as the dominant market outcome for May 14-16, reflecting his typical daily average of low-to-mid-20s posts without any major announcement or controversy sparking a surge. Traders are pricing in steady engagement patterns observed across similar short windows, where routine commentary and interactions rarely push totals much higher. With no high-profile product launches or viral moments materializing in the window, activity has stayed within historical norms rather than escalating into the upper brackets. A shift toward 90+ would need an unexpected flurry driven by breaking news or rapid-fire replies, though current platform metrics show little sign of that acceleration.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 14 12:00 PM ET to May 16, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$2,016,811結束日期
2026-05-16市場開放時間
May 11, 2026, 12:01 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Elon Musk's established posting rhythm on X has anchored the 65-89 tweet range as the dominant market outcome for May 14-16, reflecting his typical daily average of low-to-mid-20s posts without any major announcement or controversy sparking a surge. Traders are pricing in steady engagement patterns observed across similar short windows, where routine commentary and interactions rarely push totals much higher. With no high-profile product launches or viral moments materializing in the window, activity has stayed within historical norms rather than escalating into the upper brackets. A shift toward 90+ would need an unexpected flurry driven by breaking news or rapid-fire replies, though current platform metrics show little sign of that acceleration.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions