Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 100-159 tweets for Elon Musk's X activity from May 15-22, with 120-139 (18%), 140-159 (16%), and 100-119 (15.5%) leading amid tight competition reflecting his fluctuating post frequency. Recent resolved markets show 164 posts May 1-8 (averaging ~23 daily) dropping to 100-119 May 5-12 (~16 daily), signaling moderation post-government role but sustained engagement on Grok Voice topping benchmarks, SpaceX spaceport expansions, and X algorithm transparency. Key swing factors include potential spikes from Tesla FSD demos or Starship updates versus quieter periods, underscoring the unpredictability of Musk's viral social media bursts driven by real-time tech and cultural headlines. Watch for announcement catalysts before the May 22 close.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於120-139 19%
140-159 16%
100-119 15%
160-179 10%
$516,532 交易量
$516,532 交易量
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
1%
60-79
3%
80-99
9%
100-119
15%
120-139
19%
140-159
16%
160-179
10%
180-199
7%
200-219
5%
220-239
4%
240-259
3%
260-279
2%
280-299
1%
300-319
1%
320-339
1%
340-359
1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
120-139 19%
140-159 16%
100-119 15%
160-179 10%
$516,532 交易量
$516,532 交易量
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
1%
60-79
3%
80-99
9%
100-119
15%
120-139
19%
140-159
16%
160-179
10%
180-199
7%
200-219
5%
220-239
4%
240-259
3%
260-279
2%
280-299
1%
300-319
1%
320-339
1%
340-359
1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
市場開放時間： May 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 100-159 tweets for Elon Musk's X activity from May 15-22, with 120-139 (18%), 140-159 (16%), and 100-119 (15.5%) leading amid tight competition reflecting his fluctuating post frequency. Recent resolved markets show 164 posts May 1-8 (averaging ~23 daily) dropping to 100-119 May 5-12 (~16 daily), signaling moderation post-government role but sustained engagement on Grok Voice topping benchmarks, SpaceX spaceport expansions, and X algorithm transparency. Key swing factors include potential spikes from Tesla FSD demos or Starship updates versus quieter periods, underscoring the unpredictability of Musk's viral social media bursts driven by real-time tech and cultural headlines. Watch for announcement catalysts before the May 22 close.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions