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icon for Elon Musk # tweets 2026年5月16日至5月18日?

Elon Musk # tweets 2026年5月16日至5月18日?

icon for Elon Musk # tweets 2026年5月16日至5月18日?

Elon Musk # tweets 2026年5月16日至5月18日?

5月 18

5月 18

40-64 63%

65-89 36%

90-114 1.9%

115-139 <1%

Polymarket

$946,507 交易量

40-64 63%

65-89 36%

90-114 1.9%

115-139 <1%

Polymarket

$946,507 交易量

少於40

$345,673 交易量

<1%

40-64

$98,600 交易量

63%

65-89

$96,945 交易量

36%

90-114

$118,743 交易量

2%

115-139

$99,877 交易量

<1%

140-164

$62,186 交易量

<1%

165-189

$53,265 交易量

<1%

190-214

$37,343 交易量

<1%

215-239

$15,853 交易量

<1%

240+

$18,696 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 16 12:00 PM ET to May 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk's established X posting rhythm, typically ranging from 15 to 25 tweets per day across tech, politics, and SpaceX updates, anchors trader expectations for the 40-64 range over this three-day window. Recent activity shows continued engagement with AI developments, Tesla FSD iterations, and Starship milestones, without any major announcements or controversies that would spike volume. This steady pace aligns with historical patterns during non-event periods, where daily output rarely dips below a dozen or surges past thirty absent breaking news. The market's heavy weighting toward the lower bracket reflects the absence of catalysts like product launches or high-stakes debates that have previously pushed counts higher in similar short spans.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 16 12:00 PM ET to May 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$946,507
結束日期
2026-05-18
市場開放時間
May 14, 2026, 12:01 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 16 12:00 PM ET to May 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 16 12:00 PM ET to May 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk's established X posting rhythm, typically ranging from 15 to 25 tweets per day across tech, politics, and SpaceX updates, anchors trader expectations for the 40-64 range over this three-day window. Recent activity shows continued engagement with AI developments, Tesla FSD iterations, and Starship milestones, without any major announcements or controversies that would spike volume. This steady pace aligns with historical patterns during non-event periods, where daily output rarely dips below a dozen or surges past thirty absent breaking news. The market's heavy weighting toward the lower bracket reflects the absence of catalysts like product launches or high-stakes debates that have previously pushed counts higher in similar short spans.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 16 12:00 PM ET to May 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$946,507
結束日期
2026-05-18
市場開放時間
May 14, 2026, 12:01 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 16 12:00 PM ET to May 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Elon Musk # tweets 2026年5月16日至5月18日?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "40-64" at 63%, followed by "65-89" at 36%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 63¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 63% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Elon Musk # tweets 2026年5月16日至5月18日?" has generated $946.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on May 14, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Elon Musk # tweets 2026年5月16日至5月18日?," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Elon Musk # tweets 2026年5月16日至5月18日?" is "40-64" at 63%, meaning the market assigns a 63% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "65-89" at 36%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Elon Musk # tweets 2026年5月16日至5月18日?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.